HaiKhuu Weekly Recap & Analysis

January 22 - January 26, 2024


MAJOR EVENTS OF LAST WEEK

Major Indices’ Weekly Movement:

  • S&P 500:  +0.70%

  • Nasdaq:  +0.08%

  • Dow Jones: +0.37%

Highlights:

  • All major indices reached a new all-time high

  • Tesla is planning to build a new mass-market EV model codenamed “Redwood” in mid-2025

  • Netflix signed a 10-year, $5B deal to become the new home of the wrestling show “WWE Raw”

  • Microsoft crossed into the $3 trillion market cap club and passed Apple as the most valuable publicly traded company


DAILY EVENT BREAKDOWN

Monday, January 22

Stock Related News:

  • The FAA is recommending more inspections for door plugs on Boeing 737 jets due to issues with bolts

  • Rumble announced a partnership with Barstool Sports, granting Rumble users access to all of Barstool Sports' content on the platform

  • Celsius is expanding operations into Canada, UK, and Ireland

  • Macy's shares were up 4% on news they rejected Arkhouse's takeover proposal of $21/share

  • SolarEdge is cutting its workforce by 16% to reduce expenses

  • NuStar Energy shares surged 20% after Sunoco & NuStar Energy announced a $7.3B merger

Economic News:

  • Leading Index Change MoM -0.1% (Forecast -0.3%, Previous -0.5%)

  • Fitch Ratings on US Gov. Shutdown:

    • The US avoids government shutdown, but large fiscal deficits are to persist.

    • Passage of another continuing resolution avoids a partial US government shutdown but does not signal improvement in budget policymaking

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500:  +0.21%

  • Nasdaq: +0.13%

  • Dow Jones: +0.39%


Tuesday, January 23

Stock Related News:

  • Netflix signed a 10-year, $5B deal to become the new home of the wrestling show “WWE Raw”

  • Apple pushed back their plans for an Apple car from 2026 to 2028 with lower autonomy goals

  • Disney created HoloTile, which is a floor that lets you walk in any direction while keeping you on the platform

  • Southwest Airlines flight attendants have taken a vote to authorize a strike

  • United Airlines CEO says United is weighing fleet planes without the Boeing 737 Max

  • Faze stock surged over 200% after announcing a new multi-million dollar Esports sponsorship deal with Rollbit

  • eBay announced they are cutting staff by 9%, or about 1,000 workers

  • Netflix Earnings:

    • EPS of $2.11, missed estimate of $2.21

    • Sales of $8.8B, beating estimate of $8.72B

    • Streaming paid memberships 260.28m, est. 256.11m

Economic News:

  • Richmond Fed Comp. Index Actual -15 (Forecast -6, Previous -11)

  • According to a poll, 72 of 123 economists think the Fed will cut rates by 100 bps or less in 2024

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: +0.29%

  • Nasdaq:  +0.41%

  • Dow Jones: -0.27%


Wednesday, January 24

Stock Related News:

  • Tesla is planning to build a new mass-market EV model codenamed “Redwood” in mid-2025

  • FAA investigation found that Boeing mis-installed the door plug that blew off their Max-9 jet

  • Microsoft crossed into the $3 trillion market cap club, the only company other than Apple  to have that valuation

  • Barstool Sports and Draftkings are nearing a sports betting deal after the Penn lock-up

  • Nasdaq reached an all-time high of $429.85

  • Spotify to start in-app purchases on iPhone in Europe

  • A Delta Airlines passenger plane, a Boeing 757, had its nose wheel fall off while awaiting takeoff

  • Ford is recalling 1.9 million model 2011-2019 Explorer SUV units due to a windshield trim issue

  • Tesla Earnings:

    • EPS of $0.71, missing estimate of $0.74

    • Revenue of $25.17B, missing estimate of $25.87B

    • Free Cash Flow $2.06B

    • 2024 volume growth may be 'notably lower' than 2023

Economic News:

  • S&P PMI Flash:

    • Services 52.9 (Forecast 51.5, Previous 51.4)

    • Manufacturing 50.3 (Forecast 47.6, Previous 47.9)

    • PMI 52.3 (Forecast 51, Previous 50.9)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: +0.11%

  • Nasdaq: +0.55%

  • Dow Jones: -0.25%


Thursday, January 25

Stock Related News:

  • Apple notes it will impose a new ‘core technology fee’ to large developers who bypass its app store

  • FTC inquiring into Alphabet, Amazon, Anthropic, Microsoft, and OpenAI, seeking information on specific investments or partnerships

  • Meta has announced plans to establish a new $800 million data center campus in Indiana 

  • Microsoft is laying off 1,900 Activision and Xbox employees

  • FAA halted Boeing Max jet production

    • Grounded MAX 9 planes can resume flying soon

  • Business Insider is cutting 8% of its staff, the latest news organization to cut staff in recent weeks

  • Tesla is no longer one of the top 10 largest public companies 

  • Google hit a new all-time high of $153.05

Economic News:

  • GDP Data:

    • QoQ Advance 3.3% (Forecast 2%, Previous 4.9%)

    • Price Index 1.5% (Forecast 2.2%, Previous 3.6%)

    • Deflator SA Advance 1.5% (Forecast -, Previous 3.3%)

  • Jobless Claims:

    • Initial Claims 214k (Forecast 200k, Previous 187k)

    • Continued Claims 1.833M (Forecast 1.8225M, Previous 1.806M)

  • PCE Prices Advance 1.7% (Forecast -, Previous 2.6%)

    • Core 2% (Forecast 2%, Previous 2.0%)

  • Durable Goods 0% (Forecast 1.5%, Previous 5.4%)

    • Core 0.6% (Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.4%)

  • New Home Sales:

    • Units 0.664M (Forecast 0.649M, Previous 0.590M)

    • Change MoM 8% (Forecast 10%, Previous -12.2%)

  • Kansas City Fed Manufacturing -17 (Forecast -, Previous -4)

    • Composite Index -9 (Forecast -3, Previous -1)

  • Advance Goods Trade Balance -88.5B (Forecast -88.7B, Previous -89.33B)

  • Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv. 0.4% (Forecast -0.2%, Previous -0.2%)

  • Retail Inventories Ex-Auto Adv. 0.6% (Forecast -, Previous -0.9%)

  • US 30-year fixed mortgage rate 6.69% January 25th week vs. 6.60% prior week

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: +0.54%

  • Nasdaq: +0.12%

  • Dow Jones: +0.63%


Friday, January 26

Stock Related News:

  • The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high of $489.12

  • The Dow Jones hit a new all-time high of $382.13

  • Spirit Airlines is down 20% after JetBlue warned it might scrap the takeover next week after a merger block

  • Elon Musk’s xAI is seeking to raise up to $6B with a proposed valuation of $20B to compete with OpenAI

  • Tesla “recalls” 200,000 vehicles to fix a rearview glitch

    • The recalls will be fixed with an over-the-air update

  • Salesforce is cutting 700 jobs in a streamlining effort despite having 1,000 open roles

Economic News:

  • PCE Price Index:

    • MoM 0.2% (Forecast 0.2%, Previous -0.1%)

    • Core MoM 0.2% (Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.1%)

    • Core YoY 2.9% (Forecast 3%, Previous 3.2%)

  • Pending Homes Index 77.3 (Forecast -, Previous 71.6)

    • Change MoM 8.3% (Forecast 2%, Previous 0.0%)

  • White House Economic Advisor Brainard:

    • Consumer confidence and spending shows Americans' faith in their personal finances

    • China's slowdown and Red Sea disruptions are risks for the US economy but appear contained

    • The economy is upbeat, and inflation is getting anchored at 2%

  • Consumer Spending MoM 0.7% (Forecast 0.5%, Previous 0.2%)

  • Real Personal Consumption MoM 0.5% (Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.3%)

  • Personal Income MoM 0.3% (Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.4%)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: -0.11%

  • Nasdaq: -0.55%

  • Dow Jones: +0.10%


THE PAST WEEK S&P HEAT MAP & PERFORMANCE


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