HaiKhuu Weekly Recap & Analysis

December 4 - December 8, 2023


MAJOR EVENTS OF LAST WEEK

Major Indices’ Weekly Movement:

  • S&P 500: +1.01%

  • Nasdaq: +1.57%

  • Dow Jones: +0.57%

Highlights:

  • Google unveiled Gemini, a large language model to compete with OpenAI

  • The first CRISPR gene-editing treatment has been approved by the FDA for use in the US for sickle cell disease

  • AMD announced the launch of Instinct MI300X

    • AMD’s CEO Lisa Su claims it’s the highest-performance accelerator in the world for generative AI


DAILY EVENT BREAKDOWN

Monday, December 4

Stock Related News:

  • Spotify announced they are laying off 17% of its staff

  • Alaska Air (ALK) is buying Hawaiian Holdings (HA) for $1.9 Billion in cash

  • IBM unveiled its next-gen quantum processor and IBM Quantum System Two which it hopes will be the building blocks of much larger systems starting in 2033

  • Twilio (TWLO) announced it will cut 5% of its workforce in its third major headcount reduction

  • S&P on Real Estate Sector:

    • Expect US and European housing markets to face pressure, given worsening housing affordability

    • We expect rental housing demand in 2024 to remain healthy, albeit at a slower pace

Economic News:

  • Factory Orders MoM -3.6% (Forecast -3%, Previous 2.8%, Revised 2.3%)

  • Durable Goods Revised -5.4%, same as forecast and previous 

    • Core Durable Goods 0%, same as forecast and previous

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: -0.52%

  • Nasdaq: -0.93%

  • Dow Jones: -0.11%


Tuesday, December 5

Stock Related News:

  • Meta and IBM are joining more than 40 companies and organizations to create an industry group dedicated to open-source artificial intelligence work, aiming to share technology and reduce risks

  • Ford is partnering with Xcel Energy (XEL) to install 30,000 EV charging ports across the U.S. by 2030

  • Microsoft introduced Deep Search, a new Microsoft Bing feature that provides even more relevant and comprehensive answers to the most complex search queries

  • Nvidia will build a network of semiconductor plants in Japan in partnership with the country’s companies to meet demand for artificial intelligence

Economic News:

  • S&P PMI

    • Services 50.8 (Forecast 50.8, Previous 50.8) 

    • Composite 50.7 (Forecast 50.7, Previous 50.7)

  • US ISM Services:

    • PMI 52.7 (Forecast 52.3, Previous 51.8) 

    • Prices Paid 58.3 (Forecast 58, Previous 58.6) 

    • New Orders 55.5 (Forecast 54.9, Previous 55.5) 

    • Employment 50.7 (Forecast 51.4, Previous 50.2)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: -0.02%

  • Nasdaq: +0.25%

  • Dow Jones: -0.20%


Wednesday, December 6

Stock Related News:

  • McDonald’s aims to open nearly 9,000 restaurants and add 100 million loyalty members by 2027

  • Apple quietly released frameworks and model libraries designed to run on its chips and maybe bring generative AI apps to MacBooks

  • Apple is planning new iPad Air, iPad Pro, and Macbook Air models, readying them for a spring release

  • JPM CEO Dimon’s thoughts on crypto:

    • "If I was the government I'd close it down" 

    • "The only true use case for it is criminals, drug traffickers, money laundering, tax avoidance"

  • AMD announced the launch of Instinct MI300X

    • AMD’s CEO claims its the highest-performance accelerator in the world for generative AI

Economic News:

  • ADP Employment Change 103k (Forecast 130k, Previous 113k)

  • Labor Costs Revised -1.2% (Forecast -0.9%, Previous -0.8%)

  • Productivity Revised 5.2% (Forecast 4.9%, Previous 4.7%)

  • Trade Balance -64.3B (Forecast -64.2B, Previous -61.5B)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: -0.40%

  • Nasdaq: -0.58%

  • Dow Jones: -0.19%


Thursday, December 7

Stock Related News:

  • Robinhood expanded crypto trading to the European Union

  • Mcdonald’s launched their first spinoff store, CosMc’s

  • The first 4x leveraged SPY ETF went live under the ticker $XXXX

  • Amazon is piloting a new grocery subscription for Prime Members to get unlimited delivery from Whole Foods & Amazon Fresh

  • Boeing (BA) announced that they are slowing 737 production ramp-up by about 2 months

  • Tesla's Dojo supercomputer project lead Ganesh Venkataramanan has left the company

Economic News:

  • Jobless Claims:

    • Initial Claims 220k (Forecast 220k, Previous 218k)

    • Continued Claims 1.861M (Forecast 1.91M, Previous 1.927M)

  • Wholesale Sales MoM -1.3% (Forecast 1%, Previous 2.2%)

  • Wholesale Inventories MoM Rev. -0.4% (Forecast -0.2%, Previous -0.2%)

  • Consumer Credit Actual 5.134B (Forecast 8.5B, Previous 9.06B)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: +0.76%

  • Nasdaq: +1.40%

  • Dow Jones: +0.17%


Friday, December 8

Stock Related News:

  • The FTC is examining the nature of Microsoft's investment in OpenAI and whether it may violate antitrust laws

  • The first CRISPR gene-editing treatment has been approved by the FDA for use in the US for sickle cell disease

  • Nvidia will discuss cooperation deals on semiconductors with Vietnamese tech companies and authorities in a meeting on Monday in Hanoi

  • Apple’s head of iPhone and watch design has left the company

  • SPY hit a new 52-week high of $460.75

Economic News:

  • Employment Report:

    • Unemployment Rate 3.7%, Forecast 3.9%

    • Labor Force Participation 62.8%, Forecast 62.7%

    • Private Payrolls 150k, Forecast 158k

    • Average Earnings MoM 0.4%, Forecast 0.3%

    • Nonfarm Payrolls 199k, Forecast 183k

  • University of Michigan Economic Data:

    • Sentiment 69.4 (Forecast 62, Previous 61.3)

    • 1 Yr Inflation 3.1% (Forecast 4.3%, Previous 4.5%)

    • 5 Yr Inflation 2.8% (Forecast 3.1%, Previous 3.2%)

    • Expectations 66.4 (Forecast 57, Previous 56.8)

    • Condition 74 (Forecast 68.5, Previous 68.3)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: +0.50%

  • Nasdaq: +0.49%

  • Dow Jones: +0.49%


THE PAST WEEK S&P HEAT MAP & PERFORMANCE


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