HK Weekly Recap & Analysis December 12th, 2022

The Week Ahead (December 12th – December 16th)

KEY ECONOMIC DATA RELEASES TO WATCH


MARKET RECAP FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK

Monday, December 5th

  • A traffic jam of oil tankers is forming off the coast of Turkey after the start of the cap on the prices of Russian oil. 

  • A $60 per barrel price cap on Russian seaborne crude oil took effect Monday.

  • Apple is considering shifting some iPad production to India.

  • Rumors of a Twitter Coin are surfacing after code extracted from Twitter Web shows a potential new 'Twitter Coin' and integration for crypto in its tipping feature.

  • Today, the S&P 500 fell a little over 1% to end at 3998, Nasdaq Composite finished at 11,786.8, declining 0.95%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) was down 0.63%, closing at 340.3

Tuesday, December 6th

  • Robinhood is introducing retirement accounts to its customers with a 1% contribution match. The trading app's matching contribution means that someone who puts the maximum into an IRA — $6,000 for 2022 — will receive a $60 match.

  • Today, the S&P 500 fell 1.39% to end at 3941, Nasdaq Composite finished at 11549.7, declining 1.92%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) was down 0.97%, closing at 336.5

Wednesday, December 7th

  • Disgraced FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried has hired Mark S. Cohen as his defense attorney, who recently defended Ghislaine Maxwell in her sex trafficking trial. His firm, Cohen & Gresser, also played a pivotal role in bringing down drug kingpin Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán.

  • Morgan Stanley buys the technology of defunct Robo-Advisor Bloom, a retirement-focused digital advisor.

  • Carvana (CVNA 3.83 -42.92%) shares plummet as creditors form pact amid bankruptcy risks.

  • Today, the S&P 500 was flat, closing 0.06% to end at 3933, Nasdaq Composite finished at 11497.4, up 0.06% from open, and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) was down 0.09%, closing at 336.4

Thursday, December 8th

  • The Federal Trade Commission on Thursday sued to block Microsoft’s $69 billion acquisition of the video game publisher Activision Blizzard

  • US Treasury Secretary Yellen: I believe we're on the right track in lowering inflation. A recession is not inevitable.        

  • Democratic senators propose legislation to address loopholes in the oil industry

  • Wells Fargo Forecast Summary

    • 1.7% Global GDP growth in 2023.

    • 0.2% GDP growth in the United States

    • 0.7% decline in Eurozone GDP in 2023.

  • Today, the S&P 500 was up 0.27% and closed at 3963. The Nasdaq Composite finished at 11637.5, increasing .81%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) was up 0.21%, closing at 338.5.

Friday, December 9th

Putin: 

  • We will not sell oil to those who advocated for price controls.

  • We will consider reducing oil output as a response to the oil price cap.

  • A decree responding to the oil price cap will be announced in the coming days.

Fed:

  • In the third quarter, household debt increased at an annualized rate of 6.3%.

  • In the third quarter of 2022, household net worth in the United States fell to $143.3 trillion.

  • Today, the S&P 500 fell .42% to end at 3934, the Nasdaq Composite finished at 11563.33, declining 0.27%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) was down 0.68%, closing at 335.37.


THE WEEK AHEAD & EARNINGS

Monday – 12/12/2022

NY Fed 1-year inflation expectations - 11 AM ET

NY Fed 5-year inflation expectations - 11 AM ET

Federal budget (compared with Nov. 2021) - 2 PM ET

AM Earnings: No AM Earnings

PM Earnings: Oracle (ORCL), Coupa (COUP), Fluence Energy (FLNC), Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

Tuesday – 12/13/2022

NFIB small-business index - 6 AM ET

Consumer price index - 8:30 AM ET

Core CPI - 8:30 AM ET

CPI (year-on-year) - 8:30 AM ET

Core CPI (year-on-year) - 8:30 AM ET

CPI excluding shelter (3-month rolling annualized rate) - 8:30 AM ET

AM Earnings: Core & Main (CNM), Photronics (PLAB)

PM Earnings: Braze (BRZE), ABM Industries (ABM)

Wednesday – 12/14/2022

Import price index - 8:30 AM ET

Federal funds rate announcement - 2 PM ET

SEP median federal funds rate for end of 2023 - 2 PM ET

Fed Chair Jerome Powell news conference - 2:30 PM ET

AM Earnings: Arqit Quantum (ARQQ), REV Group (REVG)

PM Earnings: Lennar Corp (LEN), Trip.com (TCOM), Nordson Corp (NDSN), Planet Labs (PL)

Thursday – 12/15/2022

Initial jobless claims - 8:30 AM ET

Continuing jobless claims - 8:30 AM ET

Retail sales - 8:30 AM ET

Retail sales excluding motor vehicles - 8:30 AM ET

Empire state manufacturing index - 8:30 AM ET

Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index - 8:30 AM ET

Industrial production index - 9:15 AM ET

Capacity utilization rate - 9:15 AM ET

Business inventories - 10 AM ET

AM Earnings: Jabil (JBL)

PM Earnings: Adobe (ADBE)

Friday – 12/16/2022

S&P U.S. manufacturing PMI (flash) - 9:45 AM ET

S&P U.S. services PMI (flash) - 9:45 AM ET

AM Earnings: Accenture (ACN ), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Winnebago Industries (WGO)


WEEKLY ALGORITHM PERFORMANCE & PORTFOLIO

The proprietary HaiKhuu Trading Algorithms and long-term portfolio did terrific this week, beating the market by a large margin. When the stock market is choppy long-term investors may see little gains, but our algorithms prove to be an excellent investment regardless of where the overall market goes.


THE PAST WEEK S&P HEAT MAP & PERFORMANCE

FLOW ALGO FOR THE PAST WEEK

FEAR & GREED INDEX


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