HaiKhuu Daily Report - 03/12/2025
Good morning, and happy Wednesday!!! Markets have been highly volatile over the previous couple of days, as I am sure you all know, and I hope you are all ready for what will be a rather interesting time for the markets. We have CPI data coming out during the pre-market session, and we all should be extremely excited to see where the markets take us. This will be a little more difficult to navigate in the short term. I am not denying that, but many phenomenal opportunities will be presented today!
Continue to be rational and level-headed in these market conditions while making smart decisions and practicing safe risk management.
There is an extreme fall risk in the markets but fantastic upside potential. So be rational, and make some phenomenal positions!
Prepare for more volatility today, and let’s have some fun!
Good luck trading today, and let’s see where $SPY takes us!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Resistance: $575.02
Baseline Resistance: $582.63
Psychological Resistance: $560
Daily Cloud Resistance: $597.93
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 03/11/2025
Yesterday was a rough and challenging day for the overall markets, but opportunities were consistently presented to us to allocate. It was just a matter of timing, luck, and simply riding the momentum. Many traders had some fun, and some losses were unfortunately generated. Still, I believe that the large majority of traders were able to realize gains with relative confidence trading yesterday. I hope you all had a wonderful time doing so!
So, we started the day with $SPY opening at $599.46. Market conditions were not the worst, but watching as $SPY opened the day under the $560 resistance point was not ideal. Market conditions were not the best, but we watched as $SPY quickly popped and then dropped stupidly hard, going from $561 to $555, leading into the lunchtime lull.
Markets did bounce up slightly to test $560 during the lull, but as volume and momentum came back into the markets, we watched as $SPY sold off heavily, leading toward the back half of the afternoon. Conditions were not great as $SPY went on to make the official low of the day, trading at $522.02, but again, it provided us with a fantastic opportunity to buy the dip and have a lot of fun. Thankfully, markets were able to bounce during the back half of the day as $SPY went from $552 to the official high of the day, trading at $562.87.
Power hour, on the other hand, was an uneventful, slowly bearish time, where $SPY sold off roughly $7 from the top, and we officially ended the day with $SPY trading at $555.92, down $5 for the day, or down just under 1%. I cannot lie and say that yesterday was necessarily a “good” day for the markets, but what I can say with certain confidence is that there were many opportunities to realize a significant amount of gains. It was just a matter of being able to time out your position correctly to capitalize on yesterday's momentum.
There were many great opportunities to trade, but there were also tougher conditions. Hopefully, again, you all realized a significant amount of gains and had a lot of fun trading the crazy market momentum yesterday!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 03/11/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 03/12/2025
Today, hopefully, is going to be a better day for everyone. With the strength in the general markets, it is challenging not to be optimistic and excited. Yes, markets have only continued to get slowly chopped down, but that, in my honest opinion, is what keeps me excited about everything. I am optimistic that market conditions are strong and that many fantastic opportunities will present themselves due to these ongoing market conditions. Please continue to tread lightly and make smart decisions, but do not be passive. Buy this dip, make smart allocations, and realize some gains. It is as simple as that!
If you are in $INTC with me, this is a signal that I am contemplating getting out of my position today. There has been news overnight that TSM is interested in selling part of $ INTC’s foundries to organizations like $NVDA, $AMD, and $AVGO. Realistically, as a position that you can capitalize on, I believe that if $INTC can sell those foundries, they will get a beautiful return on investment. Still, I think it will take a significant amount of time and be extremely difficult to hold this position through the BS. So, my intensions of playing this at the moment, are simply by setting a stop in profit, so regardless of anything, I will be able to get out of my position, with relatively no risk or stress, and then I can simply let the position continue to roll and make some wiser decisions in the process. But at least buy planning on exiting, it provides me an opportunity to get out of my position, and essentially ride a zero risk exposure play (assuming that the position remains up until markets open).
But what I will say is I will continue to state what I believe is the truth. Please continue to buy this dip. Yes, again, markets may continue to come down inevitably. Still, with the way that things are currently priced in the markets, everything has come back from being highly overvalued to being relatively fairly valued, with many organizations trading at a discount. I truly believe that this is an amazing buy-the-dip opportunity. Many traders are scared, saying, “$TSLA has come down from $480, why should I buy when it’s down 50%, what if it drops another $200?” Well, despite the thought being valid, it is not. Imagine a $100 bill. Now imagine people are paying $250 for the bill, you’d call them stupid, right? That is, the people purchased $TSLA at $480 a couple of weeks ago. Now that $100 bill is $90, and everyone is freaking out because “elon is a nazi”, and that $100 bill might go to $0. I highly doubt that will happen, and realistically, this is an amazing time to purchase strong equity positions at a discount, as people are irrational and overselling their current positions. So, just something to consider in these conditions.
Other than everything that has been stated, one final reminder I have for you all today is to please make sure that you are practicing safe risk management. With the risks that are currently involved in the markets, we are going to see a significant amount of volatility, which means that you are going to be one of these three scenarios.
Right & Profitable
Wrong & Losing
Right but lost
Obviously, its going to be the easiest if you are right and profitable as there is going to be a great opportunity to trade and realize a significant amount of gains in the process, but at the same time, we are in a scenario where as a result of the ongoing volatility, when you are wrong, you are going to be extremely wrong, and then the best part of the markets, is when you are RIGHT on the position, yet wrong on the timing & sentiment. So, again, there is a lot that comes into play when it comes to considering risk and a position, but understand there is a lot more to the markets than simply guessing 50/50 if the markets are going up or down in a short period of time.
For my allocations today, I will say that I am interested in actively trading as I have been over the previous couple of days, but at the same time, I am realistically not attempting to overallocate today and take on a significant amount of risk. We will obviously see what happens when markets open as I have been saying that same thing over the previous week, and I only continue to gamble on 0-DTE calls on $SPY. So, we will see what the markets ultimately do, and where they go, but at the same time, I am not attempting to do anything that will ultimately cause my portfolio to move heavily in either direction. I will most likely sell my $INTC long shares today and attempt to reallocate that long position somewhere else.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, BTC, $GRYP, $INTC, $TSLA, $RIVN, $NVDA, $AAPL
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC / $RIVN
Economic News for 03/12/2025 (ET):
Consumer Price Index - 8:30 AM
Core CPI - 8:30 AM
Monthly U.S. Federal Budget - 2:00 PM
Notable Earnings for 03/12/2025
Pre-Market Earnings:
ZIM Integrated Shipping (ZIM)
Arcos Dorados (ARCO)
iRobot (IRBT)
ABM Industries (ABM)
Hello Group (MOMO)
Sprinklr (CXM)
Smith Douglas (SDHC)
Vera Bradley (VRA)
After-Market Earnings:
Adobe (ADBE)
UiPath (PATH)
SentinelOne (S)
Crown Castle (CCI)
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)
Phreesia (PHR)
North American Construction (NOA)
Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN)
Wrap up
Hopefully, market conditions will only continue to strengthen and provide us with some great opportunities to trade and realize a significant amount of gains. I am excited to see where the markets take us, but at the same time, I am making sure to practice safe risk management to decrease my position risk. I believe the markets are due for a breakout here in the short term, but again, it might take a little bit to get there, so tread lightly, make some smart decisions, and have some fun!
Good luck trading, and let’s watch $SPY rally!!!