HaiKhuu Daily Report - 04/04/2025
Good morning, and happy Friday. Oh my god, these market conditions are absolutely disgusting, and I genuinely cannot believe that these conditions are only in the process of getting worse. China has imposed tariffs on the US, and it has started. Welcome to the trade war of 2025, ladies and gentlemen.
Markets have sold off once again during the pre-market session, making new lows of the year. This is not ideal at all in any way, shape, or form, and traders are going to have an extremely difficult time navigating today. Losses will be generated across the board while traders remain in a state of confusion and panic.
This bearish momentum is not ideal at all in any way, shape, or form, but it is simply just a part of life and the markets. So please navigate these conditions accordingly as conditions may get worse, but it is up to us to inevitably be able to make it through these market conditions and move forward, so we are going to be able to realize a significant amount of gains afterward.
Hopefully, market conditions pick up beautifully, and conditions are going to be able to recover; if we do see a recovery, just remember that it will come with a significant and extremely rapid upside potential that no one is going to expect, so remain optimistic, but realistic in these market conditions!
Good luck trading today, and let’s see what the markets have in store for us today!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Resistance: $556.56
Baseline Resistance: $567.36
Psychological Resistance: $540
Daily Cloud Resistance: $553.37
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday 04/03/2025
Yesterday was the second-largest selling event in the markets ever recorded. I do not know what else really needs to be said on top of that. Proportionally, the losses incurred yesterday were only relative and minimal, as $SPY was “only” down approximately 5%, but on a point movement, that was the second largest selling event that has incurred in the history of the markets, only being topped by one of the first days of COVID, where $SPY dropped 12% in a single day. Hopefully, you all were able to survive, but man, oh man, has this selling been tough.
Yesterday actually started the day prior. On Wednesday, after hours, Trump went on to impose all tariffs, and as a result of that, the markets rallied for a little before absolutely plummeting, causing conditions to weaken heavily, and watched as $SPY almost instantly shot down. Fast forward, markets continued to sell off during the pre-market session and ultimately opened the day with $SPY trading at $545.07. We recovered instantly from the bottom and watched as $SPY quickly moved up throughout the day, going on to make the official high of the day, trading at $547.95, and then the rest is just history.
After the first half hour of the day, markets just quickly sold off, going on to make a relative low right below $540, stopping many traders out before $SPY popped back up to make a relative high again around $546.50 before dropping off and selling off $10 throughout the afternoon with no signs of a reversal anywhere. Everyone got absolutely slaughtered in the process, and man, that was a sketchy time.
We went on to officially end the day with $SPY, making the official low of the day into close, ending the day with $SPY trading at $536.70, down $27.82 for the day, or down 4.93%.
I am not saying that yesterday was a bad day for the markets… but again, 2nd largest drop (Point-wise) ever, and many traders got absolutely slaughtered while attempting to trade and go long yesterday. Hopefully, all of you were able to survive the bloodshed because, if I am being honest, that was an absolutely terrible time. Some people were able to dodge some bullets, though, yesterday. Congratulations to anyone who grabbed $INTC positions with us. I'm just stroking my ego, knowing that the company I yelled at everyone to buy is one of the few green companies that came out yesterday. Granted, they had news, but they were up in their own right early in the day.
So, we see what the markets have in store for us today, and we go from there!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 04/03/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 04/04/2025
Today, if I am being completely honest with you, is going to be a bloody bloody time for the markets. If you are looking at the markets from a short-term perspective, this is scary, and I wish you the best of luck in navigating this bullshit. This is difficult. This is going to kill traders. Or, this is going to result in you realizing a significant amount of gains. If there is any time to attempt to be scalping and trading in the markets, it is NOW. Volatility is stupidly high, markets are moving heavily, and THIS IS THE TIME TO TRADE. Opportunities will consistently be presented to you throughout the day, and it is for you, as a trader, to be able to capitalize on these conditions. Be smart, be safe, and take advantage of everything that is going on at the moment.
I will warn you. This is a bloody bloody time, and as I warned you yesterday, the selling is not over yet. We are getting close to the end but are not there yet. We will be soon. I do not know what the catalyst will be to get that to happen, if it is going to be some news, if people come to the senses, or what, but when that does inevitably happen, please know that the markets, when they move up, will absolutely rip. The initial movement will not be a stair step up, but it will be an absolute face-ripping rally that we can all capitalize on. However, the question is, when are we going to see this reversal? No one knows, but all I know is that this is an absolutely amazing time, assuming you are BUYING AND HOLDING STRONG EQUITY POSITIONS.
Just please be extremely careful if you are attempting to navigate this volatility. Traders are going to see difficulty navigating these conditions but will be presented with consistent opportunities. Take advantage of the market momentum, realize some gains, and have some fun in the process. Just please be careful. Accounts can and already have been wiped in the process, and I just do not want any of you to be in that position and the best way to not get shot is by not standing in front of a loaded gun. So have some fun, but just be smart about everything.
If you are a newer trader and uncomfortable trading in these market conditions, my best recommendation for you is not to attempt to trade. These conditions are not for the light-hearted or the weak. Traders are going to continually get slaughtered, and if you do not know what you are doing, you will become a statistic and a steak dinner for the better traders in the markets. But there are still ways that you can capitalize on these current conditions. This applies to everyone, not only just newer retail traders. But, if you are sitting on cash and waiting to allocate, then I would highly recommend you start scaling in with your capital now. Buy fundamentally solid blue chip companies and simply buy, buy, buy. Hold those positions indefinitely, and one of these days, you will be completely fine.
If you are holding positions already, do not bitch out and sell unless you genuinely believe we are going lower and you think you can time out the markets.
If you are holding positions light and have cash available to allocate, average down on your positions, but make sure to PRACTICE SAFE RISK MANAGEMENT.
If you are out of cash and in equity positions, hold your positions and pray that things will be fine with time.
If you are out of cash and in near expiration options, please contact your parents and ask them if your old room is still available.
So, please. Just be safe. There are sharks in the water, and markets will be extremely volatile and difficult to navigate. Tread lightly as many people are going to get slaughtered. Navigate these conditions accordingly. The easiest is going to be simply allocating long into the markets and making some smart decisions. Traders, take advantage of this volatility and have some fun. Just please, please, please, be safe in the process.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, $INTC , $GRYP, BTC, $RIVN, $NVDA, $TSLA, $MSFT
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 04/04/2025 (ET):
Employment Report - 8:30 AM
Unemployment Rate - 8:30 AM
Hourly Wages - 8:30 AM
Notable Earnings for 04/04/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
No Earnings Scheduled
Wrap up
Hopefully, the markets are able to recover from here. No promises at all. We will see what happens in a short period of time. Until then, please be smart, safe and rational while trading, and practice risk management. Remember, if the markets start to rip, and when they recover, it will be an extremely quick recovery that ends up taking many people by surprise. Take advantage of today, and let’s see where the markets take us.
Good luck trading, and let’s end this week strong!!!