HaiKhuu Daily Report - 05/19/2025
Good morning, and happy Monday!!! Wow, over the weekend, we got news that the US Credit Rating has been downgraded by Moody’s, which is going to cause a significant amount of turbulence, fear, and confusion in the markets. I want to warn you all right now that today is going to be a difficult day to capitalize on. I am assuming that conditions are only going to continue to confuse others, but opportunities are going to present themselves to us.
Just know that despite market conditions and sentiment being strong, this is one of the larger bearish catalysts we’ve seen in a while, so whatever does ultimately happen today, please tread extremely lightly. As I warned you all towards the back half of last week, market conditions were way too strong, and as a result of that, we should expect some downside in the short term. Welp, here you go, here’s that catalyst we were waiting for.
So, make sure to tread lightly today and practice safe risk management, as many traders are going to get absolutely slaughtered while attempting to trade today.
Just remember, there will be a lot of significant earnings and economic news this week, so if you’ve not seen the weekly preview yet, come check out all of the events for next week HERE.
Life is excellent, and so will the opportunities in the markets today, so please tread lightly, practice safe risk management, and protect your bottom line today.
Good luck trading day, and let’s see where $SPY takes us this week!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $575.27
Baseline Support: $551.48
Psychological Support: $580
Daily Cloud Support: $547.52
Thoughts & Comments from Last Week
Last week, market conditions were beautiful yet oddly confusing. There were some great opportunities to simply buy and hold strong equities as the markets moved up consistently. Still, we had the issue where there was a significant amount of neutrality that was followed by strong directional movements. Hopefully, you all were able to capitalize on a genuinely life-changing week. Over $10,000,000 was generated here last week due to many phenomenal trades, and I just want to thank everyone who was able to be a part of this remarkable journey.
So, we started the week with $SPY opening at $581.49. Markets gapped up beautifully from the close on Friday, watched as $SPY gapped up through the daily cloud, and displayed consistency and strength in the process. We watched as $GRYP was bought out of the Trump Family, and everyone who was in with us should have genuinely had the best time of their lives.
There was other volatility and movement on Monday, but let’s be real, that is the most impactful opportunity that was presented to us the entire week.
Markets continued to move up slowly on Tuesday, watched as we remained extremely neutral on Wednesday, and broke out afterward, continually making a new relative high, after a new relative high.
Thursday was almost a perfect day for the markets as a result of these market conditions continually displaying strength, and then watched as we rounded out Friday with $SPY continuing to push and make the official high of the day and high of the week within the final minute of the trading day where we officially ended the week with $SPY trading at $594.20, up $13 for the entire week, or up roughly 2.2%.
I will say that it was an extremely difficult week to attempt to trade and navigate. I am not trying to say that it was impossible to win, because we know that is not realistic due to the market neutrality and inconsistencies. But granted, that is why we have continued to hold strong equities from the bottom, as $SPY has beautifully recovered over $100 from the bottom. So, we see what the markets have in store for us now, and do what we can to have the most fun!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 05/16/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 05/19/2025
If I am being honest with you all, market conditions at this moment are displaying a significant amount of weakness and conditions are looking tough going into open. Hopefully, market conditions change before I ultimately go over this prior to the markets op[ening, but this is one of those times where I do believe that realistically, we are going to see a continuation of this bearish movement, and I hope that you all have heard the warnings over the previous couple of days and considered the opportunities during this time.
Obviously, market conditions could always be more ideal, but with this downgrade that people had to sit through over the weekend, that is going to generate a significant amount of weakness and bearish sentiment going into today as people are preparing accordingly for panic and fear.
Hopefully, this is all one massive fake out, and is the opportunity we have been waiting for to buy the dip, but at the exact same time, in reality, with the way that the markets are moving, a minor correction never hurt anyone. And if you were hurt heavily by a minor correction, you are taking on too much risk and exposure in the short term.
Just continue to remain optimistic and realistic with your expectations of the markets. As I said before, marketers are displaying weakness at the moment, and I believe that it can easily continue to come down, but it is now just a matter of being able to continually capitalize on these conditions and do what we can to minimize our risk. Do not fight the momentum, and just be smart.
If markets are looking bearish, don’t just blindly buy and pray that you’ve caught the bottom. Look to short and get bearish exposure on organizations you believe are heavily overpriced in the short term, and do what you can to maximize that opportunity. THEN, once markets are showing signs of a reversal, and if you are personally comfortable and confident in your ability to navigate, then attempt to allocate long and buy the dip. Be careful when attempting to buy the dip too soon, as many traders all know the joke, “When you buy the dip, it keeps dipping.”
So, scale into your positions accordingly, listen to my warnings about how the markets are slightly overextended, and prepare accordingly for the future. I still believe there is general strength, but short-term confusion, fear, and panic. Don’t worry about the short term, and continue to do what you can to capitalize on the journey, versus worrying about what happens over the next two days. So, be smart, be safe, and realize a significant amount of gains. That might not happen today, that might not happen tomorrow, but one of these days, once you put in the hours and effort to present yourself with opportunities, it will inevitably come to fruition. Enjoy the fruits of your labor, and let’s make the most out of today!
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, $JEPI, $INTC , $TSLA, $NVDA, $AAPL, $BRK/B, $DIS,
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 05/19/2025 (ET):
New York Fed President Williams Speaks - 8:45 AM
Leading Economic Indicators - 10:00 AM
Notable Earnings for 05/19/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
ZIM Integrated (ZIM)
CBAK Energy (CBAT)
Conpugen (CGEN)
Gilat Satellite Networks (GILT)
Global Ship Lease (GSL)
ICL Group (ICL)
Target Hospitality Group (TH)
After-Market Earnings:
Pioneer Power Solutions (PPSI)
Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM)
Agilysys (AGYS)
8x8 (EGHT)
Qifu Technology (GFIN)
Transcat (TRNS)
Wrap up
Hopefully, this bearish short-term sentiment is exactly just that, short-term bearish sentiment. We will see what the markets ultimately do and see where they take us, but just as a reminder, please tread lightly, practice safe risk management, and follow the market momentum. You know I do not enjoy being bearish, but this is one of those days when the markets look extremely bearish going into open. Let’s hope and pray for a recovery by close, but at the same time, within the opportunities that are being presented in these conditions, have some fun, and make the most of it!
Good luck trading, and let’s see what $SPY has in store for us today!