HaiKhuu Daily Report - 08/22/2025
Good morning, and happy Friday!!!!
Wow, as much as I would love to gas up these market conditions and talk about how optimistic conditions are, that is not the case. Today is going to be Jerome Powell’s final Jackson Hole meeting. As a result, many traders are going to tune in around 10 am EST, which should heavily impact what happens in the near future with the US economy.
If JP states some greatness, markets are going to pump; if JP shoots the markets, it is all going to be game over. Historically, JP has attempted to remain as neutral as possible, never directly criticizing the markets, but at the same time, also never over hyping or trying to oversell the markets. I assume that this trend will continue today, with JP remaining firm in his stance to reach 2% inflation.
Regardless of anything and everything, just remember that everything leading into today comes down to how the markets react and interpret what Jerome has said, and actively reallocating as a result of that. Markets are down at the time of writing this report, and most likely will remain down by this time around open. Hopefully, there is some news that causes us to recover slightly, but realistically, that is not happening. So make sure to tread lightly today, and practice safe risk management.
I’ll talk more about all of this later on in the full report, but until then….
Good luck trading today, and let’s see what Jerome Powell has in store for us!
Also, this is just a final notice that there is a 50/50 chance that I am MIA on Monday. If I am MIA, I will make sure you are taken care of!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $639.57
Baseline Support: $632.74
Psychological Support: $630
Psychological Resistance: $640
Daily Cloud Support: $616.37
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 08/21/2025
Yesterday was an extremely quick day for the markets. We warned about choppy neutrality, and that is exactly what the markets provided us. Still, the interesting part is how perfect our sentiment reading has been over the previous couple of months. I am excited to see what the markets hold for us shortly, but man, was yesterday a gross one.
So, we started the day with $SPY opening at $636.25, down from $638.11. Conditions at open were not ideal, as we quickly dropped to test $635, but then quickly rebounded to make the official high, trading at $637.97. Market conditions at the time were honestly just slow and choppy at the top. They continued to chop around $637, before selling off leading into lunch, and making the official low of the day trading at $633.81, meaning there was approximately a $4 range top to bottom.
The markets did slightly recover leading into close, breaking back above $636, and attempting to retain that level until close, only to be met with some weak bearish momentum afterward, going on to make the official low of the day trading at $635.55, down $2.50 for the day, or down 0.4%, with an intraday movement of $0.75.
I am not going to say that yesterday was a great day for the markets as it was not at all in anyway shape or form, buyt in the same regard, it is great because when we were looking at the report yesterday, I said that the day was going to remain neutral despite having choppy conditions, and man oh man did that remain true. So, we hope you enjoyed what we had in store for you yesterday, and we look forward to having a fantastic time today!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 08/21/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 08/22/2025
Today is going to be a difficult day for the markets. As I said before, today is going to be a volatile and difficult day for the markets as a result of Jerome Powell and his ongoing impact on the markets. We have Jackson Hole today, and Jerome Powell will be speaking at 10 am EST for his final remarks at Jackson Hole as the Fed President. This is going to be one of those events that many traders will attempt to tune into, and will all actively be watching the markets at that time due to the volatility and difficulties that the markets might be encountering here in the short term.
So, go into today with the understanding that Jerome Powell will be the major catalyst and will be the defining factor for where the markets go, traders' sentiment, as well as how the inevitable future looks for the markets. ‘
Let’s hope that Jerome Powell doesn’t just shock the markets and absolutely kill everything.
One comment that I do want to make about JP during this time is the fact that JP has not, and does not do anything that directly tries to pump or sell off the markets. This is not his goal, nor is it something that he intends to do. Many traders and retail sources have been overly fearful about this event as they are under the assumption that in retaliation to Trump, JP is going to tank this meeting.
I think that this narrative is terrible, and many traders are going to improperly allocate as a result of this. Yes, there is a chance that Jerome Powell does ultimately cause the markets to sell off, but historically, JP has not done anything that would warrant this to be the assumption going into today. Again, I am not saying that these conditions are perfect in any means, but at the same time, opportunities have consistently presented themselves to trade and realize a significant amount of gains with relative ease.
So, do not get blindsided by any of the headlines or biases that are occurring going into today, just follow the general market momentum and trend, and just do what you can to minimize your risk at this time. Many traders should do phenomenally today, so let’s hope that JP causes the markets to break out in irrational ways, despite knowing it realistically won’t happen. But hey, at least opportunities are continued to be presented to us, and we will have an amazing time in the process.
Just make the most out of today, and let’s realize some gains!
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
Tech: $TSLA, $INTC, $NVDA
Speculative: $RIVN, $ARTL, $PTLO
Long Dividend: $JEPI
Long Investment: $INTC
Short: $BRK/B
Crypto: Sol (?) - Just watching
Economic News for 08/22/2025 (ET):
No News Scheduled
Notable Earnings for 08/22/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)
Wrap up
Hopefully, Jerome Powell doesn't say anything bad, which would result in the market overreacting and selling off hard. It would be unfortunate, but also just simply a part of life in the case that it does happen, so just please, be smart, be safe, and practice risk management if you are attempting to allcoate today, conditions are going to be tough to navigate, so let’s make the most out of it and have an amazing time!!!
Good luck trading, and let’s end this week strong!!!