HaiKhuu Daily Report - 09/25/2025
Good morning, and happy Thursday! Wow. I'm not sure about you, but I have absolutely loved these market conditions. Things have been more challenging to navigate, but traders have been presented with some truly remarkable opportunities. This movement we’ve seen over the previous couple of days has been warned about, so I hope you’ve all heard my warnings over the previous couple of days, and are enjoing this confusion.
As I have said before, markets are still strong, but at the same time, we are in a place where the strength is slowing down, and traders are having more difficulties remaining consistent in any form or fashion. Many losses will be generated as a result of the movement today, so please tread lightly.
We have a significant amount of economic news scheduled to be released during the pre-market session. So, mentally prepare for the battle that will ensue when that news breaks, and understand that it will be the driving factor behind the general market momentum today.
And as a side note, just know with the current placement in the markets, $SPY is currently sitting on the daily conversion line support, which does bring confidence, as it has almost been a month since we’ve been below the conversion line, and it’s been almost six months since we’ve seen $SPY maintain below the daily baseline support. So, just contemplate these conditions and be realistic with your expections.
Good luck trading today, and let’s see if $SPY rejects $660!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $660.82
Baseline Support: $650.14
Psychological Support: $660
Daily Cloud Support: $634.19
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 09/24/2025
Yesterday, was an absolutely disgusting time for the overall markets. There was strength and momentum, until there was no strength nor momentum. Traders had an extrmely difficult day attempting to trade, and conditions were even worse as market conditions weakened. Many traders had a tough time, but C’est la vie. We attempted to warn you about the conditions yesterday!
We started the day with market conditions looking relatively alright, opening the day up roughly a dollar, with $SPY trading at $664.51. Market conditions were alright at open, but watched as $SPY quickly dropped from open, and remained neutral after the first half hour, trending at the previous close, before quickly dropping off leading into the lunchtime lull.
$SPY went on to make the official low of the day trading at $659.67, and I am very proud and cocky to say that we nailed the perfect bottom, and watched as $SPY rallied beautifully. We called out a $SPY $660 call when it was out of the money, and watched as $SPY ran almost $2 from our entry. Congrats to all of those who got in on that perfect alert in the exclusive room. That was the single alert I shouted through the disgusting conditions of yesterday.
Conditions were relatively gross though throughout the rest of the day, seeing an ever so slight recovery leading into close, where we officially ended the day with $SPY trading at $661.10, down $2 for the day, or down 0.3%.
The conditions of yesterday, as bad as it sounds, is just a taste of what I am personally expecting to come in the near future. So, if you are scared, or you lost your ass trading yesterday, or are uncomfortable with your positions. This is your warning now to reallocate and take some risk off the table before it is too late.
S&P 500 Heat Map - 09/24/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 09/25/2025
So, let’s jump into today. With the market movement, many traders are likely to be more scared and less confident going into today. It is not a bad thing that you are less confident, or possibly even slightly discouraged about trading today, but just understand that market conditions, as I have said, will not always remain this perfect and beautiful.
My warning that I brought up at the beginning of the week still remains true. Understand that market conditions are still strong, but our strong bull has been weakening, and this weakening is happening quickly. We went from a new all-time high to breaking below daily support, psychological support, and in the process of beginning a free fall.
What I will say is to continue to be careful and tread extremely lightly. I would not advise anyone to be overly bearish on a larger timeframe from this point just yet, as we do not have any confirmations of a reversal or catalyst to drive us down, but just tread lightly. Markets can easily reverse and rally back up on good news, strong conditions, etc, etc., but I would not advise anyone to be overly bullish or bearish right now. Just tread lightly, see where the market momentum takes us, and follow the momentum.
Again, bearish plays are back on the table, and a bearish play at this level is not the worst, especially in the case that the markets do come down.
This is not financial advice, but here are some tips for you all in these conditions, mostly in the case that the markets ever look bearish.
Opening Hedges
This does not necessarily need to be a direct hedge against your position, IE, let’s say you have $NVDA shares, you could delta hedge by purchasing $SPY puts to remain relatively neutral.
Selling profitable positions
If you think the market is going to come down, most likely your position is going to come down. Look to take cash off the table and put it in your pocket for a rainy day, and prepare to allocate accordingly.
Holding cash
Deploying cash is never a bad idea, especially if you have a solid thesis behind your play. But, for the majority of traders at the moment who are looking to invest in organizations like $TSLA and $NVDA at these relative highs, I would not recommend buying any of these companies unless you really know what you are doing.
Just consider all of these options, mostly in the case that you believe that markets are going to become less favorable in the short term, and know that all of that applies to any larger bearish scenarios in the markets.
Whatever direction the market takes, just understand that many people will face difficulties trading. Just do not fight any trends, unless there is confirmation of a reversal.
If markets are strong, do not short. If the markets are weak, do not buy the dip. It is that simple.
Let’s talk more about that statement that I brought up earlier when talking about yesterday. I have been discussing the risks in these market conditions and have been extremely clear about my stance, which is that I believe conditions are going to weaken. If you are reflecting on your portfolio from yesterday and you got absolutely shot, this is an opportunity for you to reconsider your current allocations and trading style before it is too late.
Many people lost a significant amount of money on a day that $SPY dropped 0.3%. So, to put this very simply, if you lost more than 0.3% of your portfolio yesterday, you underperformed the markets. This is not necessarily a bad thing, as your positions and portfolio will act independently, and the indexes are just gauges. But if you lost a significant amount of money or anything of any major significance, this is where you really have to reconsider your positions, the way you trade, and your thought process. Because if you lost 5-10-20%+ yesterday, you are taking on too much risk, are not properly allocated, and had a tough time.
So again, be smart about the ways that you decide to allocate, where you allocate, and how you manage your risk. Many people are going to get shot over the next couple of days in the markets. I am not trying to scare anyone when I say that. But it happens literally every day. I genuinely hope none of you ever will lose money, but I also understand that markets are the markets. So be smart, be safe, and let’s have a great time today.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
Tech: $TSLA, $NVDA, $INTC, $PLTR, $META
Speculative: $RIVN, $PTLO, $ABT, $ALLE
Long Dividend: $JEPI
Long Investment: $PTLO
Short: $BRK/B
Crypto: SOL
Economic News for 09/25/2025 (ET):
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee Speech - 8:30 AM
Initial Jobless Claims - 8:30 AM
Retail Inventories - 8:30 AM
Wholesale Inventories - 8:30 AM
Durable-Goods Orders - 8:30 AM
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly Speech - 3:30 PM
Notable Earnings for 09/25/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Accenture (ACN)
CarMax (KMX)
Jabil (JBL)
TD SYNNEX (SNX)
LuxExperience (LUXE)
After Market Earnings:
Costco Wholesale (COST)
BlackBerry Limited (BB)
Concentrix (CNXC)
Wrap up
Hopefully, markets are able to recover and we are able to see more bullish strength and momentum, but as I have voiced before, just tread lightly as we can easily come down some more. My PT on $SPY in the case we see more downside is $640, so let’s see if $SPY continues to sell off today, and let’s see where the markets go from here!
Good luck trading, and let’s kill it today!