HaiKhuu Daily Report - 12/16/2025
Good morning, and happy Tuesday!!! I hope you all are prepared for another interesting day for the markets! Markets are down ever so slightly at the time of writing this report, and we have broken back below $680.
The real questions are:
Will we be able to hold $680?
Are we going to chop at that level?
Are we about to break out?
Or, are we about to go on and make a new all-time high?
Obviously, I don’t know the answer, or else we all would be extremely rich. But that is the beauty of the markets: we are the ones who have to make the proper judgment that drives the market's movement and sentiment. So please, do everything in your power to have an amazing time today and make the most of these market conditions.
It won't be easy to navigate these conditions with generalized confidence. At the same time, opportunities will genuinely be amongst us, so please sit back, relax, and have an amazing time while attempting to trade today! Just please, practice safe risk management, as many traders are going to wipe out today.
Good luck trading today, and let’s see how $SPY reacts here at $680!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $684.21
Baseline Support: $670.05
Psychological Support: $680
Daily Cloud Support: $675.24
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 12/15/2025
Yesterday was quite the choppy, tough day for the overall markets. It would have been extremely convenient if someone had said he was worried about the markets coming back down to test the $680 magnet zone and then trading in an extremely tight range, making it extremely difficult and inconsistent. Man, that would have actually been extremely convenient. So, congrats to everyone who listened to my warnings yesterday, as *Chef’s Kiss*, it was absolutely perfect.
So, we started yesterday with $SPY opening at $685.70 and quickly rallying to an official high of $685.75. After watching the markets drop from the top, that was pretty much game over. We watched as $SPY quickly started to sell off right after markets opened, and who would have predicted that it would stop at the $680 magnet zone, then go on to make the official low of the day at $679.25.
Those who were in the call and listening in, you heard my thesis of $SPY was going to hit $679~ range to stop people out right below $680 before bouncing back up quickly, which was short-lived, but extremely true, as we watched as a couple of our $SPY $680 calls went nicely in the money. Before we knew it, $SPY was back up to $683, but then dove once again, leading into the back half of the trading day.
Once $SPY lost all its steam, the markets moved neutrally for the rest of the day, maintaining their position right above $680. As bad as this sounds, the entire afternoon was a complete wash, as $SPY dropped $0.11 between Noon EST and market close. That is how disgusting and neutral yesterday was.
So, we ended the day with $SPY trading at $680.73, down about $1 for the day, or down 0.15%. So, I am not going to say that yesterday was necessarily a “perfect” day for the markets, as it was genuinely far from that, but what I will say is that for anyone who listened to our warnings and traded when we did, we had an amazing time taking advantage of the generalized market momentum. So, I hope you all had a lot of fun and are prepared accordingly for today!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 12/15/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 12/16/2025
Going into today, the first thing I want to do is attempt to warn you all about these general conditions. As bullish and optimistic as I am for the markets, these conditions are not looking great going into open. Markets are down slightly at the time of writing this report, and I genuinely believe this is going to be an interesting time for the markets.
As I have stated before multiple times over, I believe that $SPY is going to consistently magnet towards $680 until there is a confirmation of a directional breakout, until that point I am worried about larger scale neutrality in the markets. Not a lack of movement, but overall neutrality as the markets chop in a larger range over an extended period of time.
These conditions are genuinely difficult to navigate, and I believe that the majority of inexperienced traders who do not know how to trade will have an extremely difficult time navigating this volatility.
If you are attempting to trade today, I am going to warn you about just making sure that you are NOT fighting the market momentum, and only attempting to trade WHEN there is momentum.
An issue many traders face, not only today but in general, is that they try to fight the overall market trend or force a trade when one doesn't exist. Many people believe that the markets are overvalued, so you have to short. Despite things continuing to go up, many people will attempt to buy the dip when the markets only continue to fall, or people try to force positions in either direction when there is no general market momentum.
Everything in these market conditions comes down to just making sure we are following proper risk management in these conditions. If you are attempting to trade, it is significantly easier when there is momentum, and you aren’t fighting the trend. This is a general issue many traders face, but once you come to terms with the reality of these conditions, you kind of understand everything you need to realize significant gains with extremely minimal effort.
So, going into today, just tread extremely lightly. I hope that $SPY breaks above the $680 resistance level again and continues to rally, but the question is, will it happen, and how soon will we be able to pick a direction? Obviously, we don’t have the answer to where we are headed, but I genuinely believe that opportunities will be amongst us, and that we'll have a great time.
Just please, be smart and safe with your allocations at this time. Many traders are not going to have a great time because they either purchased option contracts at the wrong time or are just allocating into the markets incorrectly, where they ultimately lose everything when the markets go against them. So, basic risk management is going to save you today, and in case you are not comfortable or confident, then simply sit to the side. Attempting to trade chop is deadly for most, so just be smart going into this extremely indecisive day!
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
Tech: $ORCL, $NVDA, $TSLA, $BABA, $MSFT
Speculative: $PTLO, $RIVN, $MSOS
Long Dividend: $JEPI
Long Investment: $PTLO
Short: $BRK/B
Crypto: SOL
Economic News for 12/16/2025 (ET):
Employment Report - 8:30 AM
Unemployment Rate 8:30 AM
Hourly Wages - 8:30 AM
Retail Sales - 8:30 AM
Business Inventories - 10:00 AM
Services PMI - 9:45 AM
Manufacturing PMI - 9:45 AM
Notable Earnings for 12/16/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Duluth Holdings (DLTH)
OrganiGram (OGI)
After Market Earnings:
Lennar Corp (LEN)
Worthington Industries (WOR)
Wrap up
Hopefully, market conditions strengthen from here, and we don’t continue to chop around the $680 point. This one will definitely be a more interesting day for us, so please continue practicing safe risk management and mitigating as much risk as possible. I genuinely believe many will have a difficult day, so just be smart with your allocations, set stops, and minimize risk today. This should be a fun time with many great opportunities, so let’s make the most out of today!
Good luck trading, and let’s see where $SPY $680 takes us!