HaiKhuu Weekly Recap & Analysis

July 22 - July 26, 2024


MAJOR EVENTS OF LAST WEEK

Highlights:

  • The US GDP doubled from 1.4% to 2.8% in the second quarter as inflation slowed

  • 70 of 100 economists say the Fed will cut the Fed Funds rate by 25bps in September

  • OpenAI to launch "SearchGPT" in a challenge to Google’s search dominance

  • The SEC charged activist short seller Andrew Left and his firm, Citron Capital, for engaging in a $20 million scheme to defraud followers

Major Indices’ Weekly Movement:

  • S&P 500:  -1.55%

  • Nasdaq: -3.78%

  • Dow Jones: +0.48%


Monday, July 22

Stock Related News:

  • Reddit has teamed up with the NFL, NBA, and MLB to get videos and other content for its site

  • Boeing-owned Wisk Aero expects its pilotless air taxi to begin carrying passengers "later in the decade"

  • Elon Musk has said Tesla will use humanoid robots for internal use next year

  • Apple is refining its strategy in Hollywood after spending over $20 billion on original TV shows and movies that have yet to attract large audiences

  • 99% of Teamsters at Disneyland have voted to authorize a strike

  • Mattel surged over 17% and was halted following a buyout offer from LVMH-backed L Catterton

Economic News:

  • Chicago National Activity Index 0.05 (Forecast -0.09, Previous 0.18, Revised 0.23)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: +1.03%

  • Nasdaq:  +1.49%

  • Dow Jones: +0.30%


Tuesday, July 23

Stock Related News:

  • Ethereum Spot ETFs began live trading and reached $115M in volume within the first 15 minutes

  • Apple's foldable iPhone may be released in 2026

  • Wiz has reportedly walked away from a $23 billion deal to be acquired by Google

  • GM has indefinitely suspended the production of its self-driving "Cruise Origin" robotaxi

  • The FAA has launched an audit of Southwest Airlines after close calls and other incidents

Economic News:

  • Economist Poll on Interest Rates:

    • 70 of 100 economists say the Fed will cut the Fed Funds rate by 25bps in September and December

    • 73 of 100 economists say the Fed will cut rates by 50 bps in 2024

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: -0.16%

  • Nasdaq:  -0.35%

  • Dow Jones: -0.16%


Wednesday, July 24

Stock Related News:

  • The NBA has rejected Warner Bros offer and has entered into a longterm deal with Amazon, Comcast, and Disney’s ESPN

  • Microsoft has introduced Bing generative search

  • Disney unions have reached a tentative pact to avoid a work stoppage at Disneyland

  • A Senate committee passed a bill to ban congressional stock trading and the bill now moves to the floor for a vote

  • Fortune 500 companies, excluding Microsoft will reportedly face $5.4 billion in financial losses from the recent CrowdStrike outage

  • Microsoft will expand its capacity for AI workloads with help from Lumen Technologies' network equipment

Economic News:

  • S&P PMI Data:

    • Manufacturing 49.5 (Forecast 51.6, Previous 51.6)

    • Services 56 (Forecast 54.9, Previous 55.3)

    • Composite 55.0 (Forecast 54.2, Previous 54.8)

  • New Home Sales:

    • Units 0.617M (Forecast 0.64M, Previous 0.619M)

    • Change MoM -0.6% (Forecast 3.4%, Previous -11.3%)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500: -2.27%

  • Nasdaq: -3.59%

  • Dow Jones: -1.19%


Thursday, July 25

Stock Related News:

  • OpenAI to launch "SearchGPT" in challenge to Google

  • Meta is set to be hit with an EU antitrust fine for linking Marketplace and Facebook

  • Warner Bros is suing the NBA after it rejected the media giant's matching bid for broadcasting rights

  • Elon Musk says he will discuss Tesla's potential $5B  investment in XAI with Tesla's board

  • GE HealthCare selected AWS as its strategic cloud provider to develop foundation models and generative AI applications

  • AMD has delayed its desktop Zen 5 processor launch, which it claims to be “the world’s most powerful desktop consumer processor”

Economic News:

  • GDP QoQ Advance 2.8% (Forecast 2%, Previous 1.4%)

    • GDP Price Index 2.3% (Forecast 2.6%, Previous 3.1%)

  • Jobless Claims:

    • Initial (Forecast 238k, Previous 243k)

    • Continued 1.851M (Forecast 1.868M, Previous 1.867M)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500:  -0.52%

  • Nasdaq:  -1.10%

  • Dow Jones:   +0.21%


Friday, July 26

Stock Related News:

  • The SEC charged activist short seller Andrew Left and his firm, Citron Capital, for engaging in a $20 million scheme to defraud followers by publishing false and misleading statements

  • Apple has agreed to adopt a set of voluntary AI safeguards crafted by the Biden administration

  • Honeywell is considering an IPO of its majority-owned quantum computing firm Quantinuum at a valuation of $10 Billion

  • Walmart plans to spend $200 million on self-driving forklifts

Economic News:

  • PCE Price Index:

    • YoY 2.5% (Forecast 2.4%, Previous 2.6%)

    • MoM 0.1% (Forecast 0.1%, Previous 0.0%)

  • UMich Inflation Expectations & Sentiment:

    • 1-Year Inflation: 2.9%, as forecasted and previous

    • 5-Year Inflation: 3% (Forecast 2.9%, Previous 2.9%)

    • Sentiment: 66.4 (Forecast 66.5, Previous 66.0)

Major Indices:

  • S&P 500:  +1.12%

  • Nasdaq:  +1.03%

  • Dow Jones:   +1.64%


THE PAST WEEK S&P HEAT MAP & PERFORMANCE


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