HaiKhuu Weekly Recap

August 21 - August 25, 2023


MAJOR EVENTS OF LAST WEEK

Major Indices’ Weekly Movement:

  • S&P 500 +0.56%

  • Nasdaq +1.23%

  • Dow Jones -0.55%

Highlights:

  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole:

    • Powell repeats the Fed's responsibility to reduce inflation to 2%

    • Inflation has come down from its peak due to a combination of factors, including monetary policy tightening

    • Powell discusses the progress in core goods, housing services, and nonhousing services inflation, highlighting the need for sustained progress

  • Brazil’s President has proposed a common currency for BRICS nations to reduce their reliability and use of the US dollar

  • Nvidia ($NVDA) Earnings:

    • 2Q Adj EPS $2.70, est. $2.07

    • 2Q Revenue $13.51B, est. $11.04B

    • Sees revenue coming in next quarter at $16.00B +/- 2% above expectations of $12.5B


DAILY EVENT BREAKDOWN

Monday, August 21

  • NY Fed July Survey:

    • Americans expect record income to start a new job

    • The July survey finds the pay needed to accept a job at $78,645

    • Expectations of better pay come amid softer labor market views

  • Subway is nearing a deal to be sold for $9.6 Billion to Roark Capital

  • US court says AI-generated art cannot receive copyrights

  • Meta to launch a web version of "Threads"

  • Softbank’s Arm Holdings filed to go public through an IPO

    • Arm Holdings will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker $ARM

  • Major Indices:

    • S&P 500 +0.65%

    • Nasdaq +1.61%

    • Dow Jones -0.13%

Tuesday, August 22

  • Microsoft ($MSFT) and Activision Blizzard ($ATVI) have restructured their proposed acquisition

    • Under the restructured transaction, Microsoft will not be in a position either to release Activision Blizzard games exclusively on its own cloud streaming service or to exclusively control the licensing terms of Activision Blizzard games for rival services

  • Existing Home Sales Actual 4.07M (Forecast 4.15M, Previous 4.16M)

  • Existing Home Sales Change -2.2% (Forecast -0.24%, Previous -3.3%)

  • No final decision from the US Court of Appeals on Grayscale's lawsuit with the SEC over converting its fund to a Bitcoin spot ETF

  • $AMC hit a new 52-week low of $2.50

  • S&P downgraded multiple regional banks due to real estate and funding concerns from Fed rate hikes

    • Banks downgraded include Comerica Bank, UMB Financial, and KeyCorp

  • Major Indices:

    • S&P 500 -0.27%

    • Nasdaq -0.14%

    • Dow Jones -0.50%

Wednesday, August 23

  • US S&P Data:

    • Composite PMI Flash Actual 50.4 (Forecast 51.5, Previous 52.0)

    • Services PMI Flash Actual 51 (Forecast 52.2, Previous 52.3)

    • Manufacturing PMI Flash Actual 47 (Forecast 49, Previous 49.0)

  • US New Home Sales:

    • Change MoM Actual 4.4% (Forecast 1%, Previous -2.5%)

    • Units Actual 0.714M (Forecast 0.704M, Previous 0.697M)

    • July median Home sale price $436,700, -8.7% from July 2022 ($478,200)

  • Nvidia ($NVDA) Earnings:

    • 2Q Adj EPS $2.70, est. $2.07

    • 2Q Revenue $13.51B, est. $11.04B

    • Sees revenue coming in next quarter at $16.00B +\- 2% above expectations of $12.5B

  • Brazil’s President has proposed a common currency for BRICS nations to reduce their reliability on the dollar

  • Major Indices:

    • S&P 500 +1.11%

    • Nasdaq +1.58%

    • Dow Jones +0.55%

Thursday, August 24

  • Core Durable Goods Actual 0.5% (Previous 0.5%)

  • Durable Goods Actual -5.2% (Previous 4.6%)

  • Jobless Claims

    • Initial Claims 230k (Previous 239k)

    • Continued Claims 1.702M (Previous 1.716M)

  • $AMC had a 10:1 reverse split

  • JPMorgan ($JPM) wins a ruling that leveraged loans are not securities

  • Fed's Harker at Jackson Hole:

    • “I see the US keeping rates where they are all this year, if inflation comes down next year, we could cut rates”

    • Harker sees the labor market easing and expects unemployment to reach 4%

    • Advocates for continued restrictive policies to lower inflation, notes balance sheet reduction

    • Acknowledges credit tightening, uncertain about China's impact, and downplays AI disruption

  • T-Mobile ($TMUS) fired 5,000 employees, 7% of their workforce

  • Walmart ($WMT) teams up with Google’s Wing ($GOOGL) to expand drone deliveries 

  • Major Indices:

    • S&P 500 -1.39%

    • Nasdaq -2.14%

    • Dow Jones -1.10%

Friday, August 25

  • University Michigan Data:

    • Sentiment Final Actual 69.5 (Previous 71.2)

    • 1 Yr Inflation Final Actual 3.5% (Previous 3.3%)

    • 5 Yr Inflation Final Actual 3.0% (Previous 2.9%)

    • Expectations Final Actual 65.5 (Previous 67.3)

  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole:

    • Powell repeats the Fed's responsibility to reduce inflation to 2%

    • Inflation has come down from its peak due to a combination of factors including monetary policy tightening

    • Powell discusses the progress in core goods, housing services, and nonhousing services inflation, highlighting the need for sustained progress

  • Fed’s Goolsbee at Jackson Hole:

    • Goolsbee acknowledges improvement in core inflation but believes it's early to claim victory

    • Consumer spending remains solid despite rate hikes, and GDP growth forecasts suggest an acceleration

    • Goolsbee notes consumers' resilience to rate hikes, minimal economic drag from banking issues, and ongoing focus on managing rate duration

  • Talk Veritas is considering a takeover of Blackberry ($BB)

  • Disney ($DIS) hit a new 52-week low of $82.31

  • Amazon ($AMZN) has had early talks with Disney ($DIS) about working on the streaming version of ESPN it is developing

  • Rite Aid ($RAD) is preparing to file Chapter 11 bankruptcy within a few weeks

  • Instacart has filed to go public through an IPO and trade under the ticker $CART

  • Major Indices:

    • S&P 500 +0.85%

    • Nasdaq +0.96%

    • Dow Jones +0.84%


THE PAST WEEK S&P HEAT MAP & PERFORMANCE

FEAR & GREED INDEX


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HaiKhuu Daily Report 8/25/2023