HaiKhuu Daily Report - 01/28/2025
Good morning, and happy Tuesday! Wow, was that an insane dip we watched in the markets, and what an absolutely amazing buy-the-dip opportunity that was presented to us. With the way that the markets are looking at the moment, we are displaying general strength and showing the ability to rebound is significantly easier than most anticipated. $SPY, at the time of writing this report, is up $2.60, back above the $600 resistance, and is looking good, while $NVDA has recovered roughly 5% in the process.
These conditions are going to be extremely volatile, but I will say that despite the fact I believe that $NVDA is heavily overvalued, it does not mean there is justification that a $6m Chinese AI model is strong enough to slaughter $600B from the $NVDA market cap, but that is simply my two cents. I have a general idea of how much it costs to train models, and there is no possible way to achieve a comparable model to GPT for less than $100M in these circumstances.
So tread lightly in these market conditions, but look to take advantage of the dip that is presented to us. We are about to have a lot of fun and realize some gains!
(BTW, just a reminder again that tomorrow is the MOST significant day of the week with FOMC, and major earnings)
Good luck trading today, and let’s print some money!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $594.57
Baseline Support: $593.07
Psychological Support/Resistance: $600
Daily Cloud Resistance: $601.03
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 01/27/2025
Yesterday was an absolutely disgusting but beautiful day for the overall markets. Traders were given opportunities to trade and realize gains with relative ease despite the overall fear that was generated by Deepseek. I do not think anyone realistically expected the movement that we saw yesterday, but despite the bloody red, opportunities were consistently presented to us, and a significant amount of gains, or at least potential, could have been generated.
So, we started the week early, as sometime between when I fell asleep on Sunday and woke up on Monday, there was a “new” AI that came out that “tops” GPT, using cheaper, less efficient parts, and only cost “$6m” to produce. As a result of that, the entire market acted like a man on fire. It stopped, dropped, and rolled. Markets got slaughtered, and traders were unfortunately sliced in the process. $SPY started the day opening at $594.78 and quickly popped up from that point. We watched as the markets rallied from open, and went on to push and make a relative high rejecting $600, before trending back down leading into lunch.
Not really much happened during the lull; markets remained relatively stagnant around $596, and the markets really didn’t move until the back half of the afternoon, where $SPY started to heat up, traders started to purchase again, and we watched as $SPY pushed up ever so slightly leading into close, recovering a small portion of what was lost, to eventually end the day with $SPY trading at $599.37, down $8.60 for the day, or down roughly 1.5%.
I would say it was an absolutely disgusting day for the overall markets with opportunity consistently presented to us, but at the same time, market conditions were absolutely disgusting. Apologies to anyone in any of the mega caps/semiconductor markets who got absolutely clapped, but at the same time, opportunities were presented to us to buy the dip, so let’s see where the markets take us today and have some fun!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 01/27/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 01/28/2025
Today is shaping up to be an absolutely insane day for the overall markets. With the way that everything has gone down over the previous 24 hours, I think we are getting ready and preparing for what is going to be a beautiful green day for the markets. Obviously, anything can happen here in the short term, but with the way that the markets are setting up, I am extremely excited to watch as $SPY rallies uncontrollably and we push to a new all-time high. Obviously, this is more so sarcasm that we will hit a new all-time high, but I will say that I personally am extremely confident in these market conditions, and I think there are going to be great opportunities that present themselves today.
I will say the opportunities to allocate today are not as great as the opportunities there were to allocate yesterday before the markets closed, but at the same time, to each, their own, and each opportunity provides us with three other opportunities to get clapped. So please tread lightly and practice risk management, but do not fall asleep in these conditions. Make smart allocations, capitalize on the strength in these markets, and just have an amazing time.
Please just do what you can, though, to watch out for $NVDA today. If you are looking for something to trade, $NVDA has significant upside potential as a result of this sell-off, and I believe it will have a lot of momentum throughout the next couple of trading days as a result of what has happened. There is zero chance that $NVDA will continue to stay at this level. If there is news in regards to the AI model, then we will watch $NVDA continue to fall, and if not, $NVDA will recover. We might not get to the very top and be able to secure profits at a new all-time high, but I am sure all of you would be extremely happy waking up and seeing that $NVDA is $5-10 ITM.
For my personal allocations today, I will be very interested to see where the markets go from here. I did allocate slightly yesterday in both my personal account and the $1M Challenge account. So, with those allocations, I will see how they perform, but I will say that I am excited to trade today and make the most out of the current conditions and confidence. So we go from here and make the most out of today.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, $NVDA / $INTC / $DG / $GRYP / $RIVN / $TSLA / $GOOGL
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC / $DG / $RIVN / $BA
Economic News for 01/28/2025 (ET):
Durable-Goods - 8:30 AM
Consumer Confidence - 10:00 AM
Notable Earnings for 01/28/2025
Pre-Market Earnings:
Boeing (BA)
General Motors (GM)
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)
Lockheed Martin (LMT)
RTX (RTX)
Synchrony Financial (SYF)
JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
Kimberly-Clark (KMB)
SYSCO (SYY)
Adient plc (ADNT)
After-Market Earnings:
Starbucks (SBUX)
Lending Club (LC)
SAP SE (SAP)
Stride (LRN)
F5 Networks (FFIV)
Nextracker (NXT)
Packaging Corporation (PKG)
Stryker (SYK)
Chubb (CB)
Logitech (LOGI)
Wrap up
Hopefully, the markets will continue to print money for us. There is obviously no guarantee, but it will be very interesting to see where the markets go from here. Either we continue to recover, or the markets will ultimately sell off, so tread lightly today, but make the most of these current conditions and have some fun!
Good luck trading, and let’s watch the markets bounce!