HaiKhuu Daily Report - 07/14/2025
Good morning, and happy Monday! Market conditions are not looking the best right now as $SPY is down slightly during the pre-market session, but man, are these market conditions strong. There is a lot of confusion in the air, mostly due to trade talks, but with an extremely high likelihood that we break out sometime this week and make another NEW all-time high.
So please continue to protect your bottom line, but at the same time, make sure to take advantage of the opportunities and the confidence in this process.
Many traders will likely face a challenging day today. I do not want to deny that fact, but I believe that opportunities will consistently present themselves and provide us with many great opportunities to trade. It is just a matter of capitalizing on these conditions, remaining strong and confident in the process. Regardless, life and these market conditions will be amazing; it is just a matter of how you and your portfolio perform in this process.
I am not trying to scare anyone or make anyone overly confident with these statements, because they are all true. Lots of traders will lose lots of money, and very few traders will make an irrational amount of money. So please, continue to protect your bottom line and have a fantastic time!
This is going to be a week with a significant amount of news and earnings, so if you haven’t checked out our weekly preview, check it out HERE!
Good luck trading this week, as we will need it!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $620.96
Baseline Support: $608.96
Psychological Support: $600
Daily Cloud Support: $577.82
Thoughts & Comments from Last Week
Last week was full of neutrality, new all-time highs, confusing times, and some wonderful opportunities to realize some gains, and get absolutely burnt.
I cannot lie, conditions were tough to navigate, but opportunities were consistently presented to us throughout the week to trade both directions, with opportunities to trade over any timeframe. Just came down to timing of your entry and the sentiment at that moment. But regardless, it might have been a slow week, but any week where $SPY makes a new all-time high is always a win.
So, we started last week with $SPY opening at $623.38, and market conditions really were not that great, we dropped to $620 by the end of Monday and essentially remained there throughout Tuesday, but Wednesday is where conditions started to heat up.
On Wednesday, the general markets were displaying more confidence leading into the FOMC minutes, and as a result moved up towards the previous all-time high, setting up a beautiful Thursday. $SPY went on to make the official all-time high trading at $626.27, before gapping down on Friday and officially ending the week trading at $623.62, up $0.24 throughout the course of the week, or up 0.04%.
I won’t say that it was an insane week for the markets as there really was not that much overall momentum, but markets made a new all-time high, conditions are looking phenomenal, and traders are continuing to be optimistic. I hope you again all had a wonderful time trading last week and are able to realize a significant amount of gains this week!
S&P 500 Heat Map - Last Week
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 07/14/2025
Today is going to be a tougher day for the overall markets. I am not attempting to undermine the difficulty of these conditions, but at the same time, if I am just being completely honest, these conditions are extremely difficult to navigate and not hard to capitalize on. The issues just come from short-term movement, shifts in sentiment, and the way that traders attempt to feel comfortable at this time.
So, to be completely honest with you all, about the current market sentiment. Markets are at an all-time high, conditions are looking great, yet people are not overly optimistic or bullish in the markets, despite the strength and confidence. There is a lot of underlying volatility right now in the markets that is not being discussed, but that is a major concern to me.
I still do believe that market conditions are going to continue to make irrational highs over the near future, the only issues come back to where people are allocating, how people are allocating, and whether we will remain solvent enough to capitalize on that shift in allocations.
Well, the real question comes down to “it depends.” We can watch as the markets break out here over the next couple of days or the next couple of weeks, but if you are doing what you can to allocate in these market conditions and are not capitalizing on the conditions as a result of chop or stop hunts, then that is unfortunately on you, your timing, and your position. The short-term momentum is going to provide you with opportunities left and right to trade, but will also cause many people to generate losses in the process.
But, as bad and as boring as this sounds, per the advice of our community a couple of months ago, we are able to realistically just sit back and capitalize on these conditions. Not because we are better than others (even tho long-term hold supremacy gang), we simply do not have to worry and navigate the short-term BS necessary to capitalize on these conditions, we bought at the bottom, have remained confident, and are extremely excited. Those are the winners at the end of the day.
So, here is a question everyone asks, and here is my personal answer. With the strength in the markets at the moment, conditions are tough to navigate, but how high can the markets go from here. In reality, no one knows the correct answer. They might be right with a prediction, a model, or a sentiment read, but no one truly knows how to allocate here to get a 100% certainty and confidence read. So, it would not surprise me if people in these current conditions started to adjust their portfolios.
I will still recommend that the majority of you continue to hold some great positions, but please look to scale and rotate out of higher beta stocks that are up significantly at the moment that you believe might start to come down, and start to take profit on the organizations that you personally want to take profit on. I still do believe that the markets are going to move up and continue to display strength, but with the confusion and difficulty traders are having, please just make sure to tread extremely lightly.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, $JEPI, $INTC, $RIVN, $TSLA, $AAPL, $NVDA, $SPCE
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 07/14/2025 (ET):
No News Scheduled
Notable Earnings for 07/14/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Fastenal (FAST)
After Market Earnings:
Simulations Plus (SLP)
Equity Bancshares (EQBK)
Wrap up
Hopefully, market conditions strengthen by the end of the day. I am expecting some neutrality, chop, and difficulty attempting to navigate these conditions, but I will say with certainty and confidence that many traders are going to have a tough time trading today. So please, as optimistic and excited as I am for you, these market conditions are still strong, but less than ideal in the short term. So make some smart decisions, practice safe risk management, and have a great time in the process.
Good luck trading, and let’s start this week strong!!!