HaiKhuu Daily Report - 07/17/2025

Good morning, and happy Thursday! Man, these market conditions have been insane over the previous couple of days as many traders are having a difficult time while market conditions were strong. It would be wild if someone has been warning about wild and difficult market neutrality over the previous week or so.

But hey, regardless of everything, markets at the moment are not looking that bad, displaying a significant amount of volume and volatility in the process. 

Traders should have many great opportunities to trade today, but just remember that these market conditions are currently less than ideal and are not providing us with phenomenal momentum, but that is half of our job in navigating the markets!

So, please continue to make smart decisions and do what you can to maximize any and all opportunities that are available to us in these conditions. 

Let’s have fun, let’s realize a significant amount of gains, and let’s kill it today! 

The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $622.82
Baseline Support: $609.88
Psychological Support: $600
Daily Cloud Support: $584.03

Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday 07/16/2025

Yesterday was a disgusting and terrible time for the markets that provided us with some genuinely insane opportunities to trade and realize a significant amount of gains in a short period of time, it was just a matter of being able to capitalize on these conditions and do what we could to have realized a significant amount of gains in an insanely volatile day!

So, we started the day with $SPY opening at $623.76. Market conditions were great at open despite the significant bearish momentum we saw on Tuesday. Markets quickly dropped from the open to test the previous close and remained relatively neutral there until the lunchtime session. That is where things started to heat up. We got news that Donald Trump is thinking about firing Jerome Powell, and as a result of that, the markets quickly sold off, going on to make the official low of the day at $618.06.

That single opportunity was the best buy the dip opportunity throughout the entire day, we pinged out the position as much as possible and watched as the markets went from quickly selling off, to recovering 100% of all losses generated, and watched as the markets continued to move up leading into close where we officially ended the day with $SPY trading at $624.22, up $2 for the day, or up 0.33%.

I will say that again: yesterday was a disgusting day. If you did not trade and simply held your positions, not much changed, but unless you timed out your position perfectly yesterday, I can say with almost 100% certainty and confidence that losses were generated in the process due to the lack of momentum and active chop. So, again, I hope you all had a wonderful time and were able to make the most out of yesterday!

S&P 500 Heat Map - 07/16/2025

Thoughts & Comments for Today - 07/17/2025

Today is going to be another interesting day for the markets. The same way that I went into yesterday saying be careful because conditions are going to be extremely difficult to navigate, I will say that today is one of those days where I am seeing significantly more strength and confidence across the board that realistically, traders are going to be able to realize a significant amount of gains today with relative ease, the question is are traders going to be able to do that consistently? No clue. 

So, if you are looking to trade, my general recommendations are going to stay the same for a day like today. Skiddish bull will win the race, attempt to extend your timeframe, and try to stay away from 0-DTEs. 0-DTEs will print you a significant amount of money if done properly and allocated accordingly, but there is simply too much risk being taken on by these positions, so you should continue to practice safe risk management and mitigate risks wherever possible. 

I personally will be more focused on the performance of my organization despite short-term weakness and lack of generalized confidence. But, this is not something that is overly concerning to me as I am still extremely confident in these market conditions, and it’s strength. That may adjust with enough given time assuming that the markets either develop some more weakness or we see a significant amount of strength where people start to FOMO into places. 

Either way, I am not worried about managing the short-term risks and opportunities today if I am being completely honest. I just feel there is too much risk, chop, and lack of momentum at the moment that I am not the most comfortable or confident in attempting to allocate. But, with the way that everything is trending, it would not surprise me that, again, here in the near future, the markets break out and continue to rally on hopefully positive trade talks. 

This is a reminder that none of this should be construed as financial advice nor a signal to buy or sell any positions as a result of what I am saying. 

But, I still genuinely believe that we are in the process of seeing retail traders coming back into the markets and providing new liquidity and solvency for the system that can easily and realistically cause the markets to act irrationally. There are so many people on the sidelines at the moment that the second they all stat to deploy their positions, they all will have an amazing time. 

Just please, do what you can to make the most out of these market conditions. The inconsistencies and lack of momentum make trading difficult, but that is part of your job to make sure that we are doing what we can to minimize risk and realize as many gains as humanly possible. So please, make sure to practice safe risk management today. 

If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.

My Personal Watchlist:

Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities

Watchlist:
$SPY, $JEPI, $INTC, $RIVN, $TSLA, $NVDA, $BRK/B

LONG OPPORTUNITIES:

  • Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI

  • Long-Term Investment - $INTC

Economic News for 07/17/2025 (ET):

  • Initial Jobless Claims - 8:30 AM

  • Retail Sales - 8:30 AM

  • Import Price Index - 8:30 AM

  • Business Inventories - 10:00 AM

  • Home Builder Confidence Index - 10:00 AM

Notable Earnings for 07/17/2025:

Pre-Market Earnings:

  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)

  • PepsiCo (PEP)

  • Cintas Corporation (CTAS)

  • Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)

  • U.S. Bancorp (USB)

  • Webster Financial (WBS)

  • Abbott (ABT)

  • Travelers Companies (TRV)

  • Citizens Finacial Group (CFG)

  • Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)

After Market Earnings:

  • Netflix (NFLX)

  • Marten Transport (MRTN)

  • Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR)

  • F.N.B Corporation (FNB)

  • Bank OZK (OZK)

  • Simmons First National Corp (SFNC)

Wrap up

Hopefully market conditions are going to be more favorable for us and provide  us with the opportunities necessary to realize a significant amount of gains. Many traders are going to have some difficulty, but it should not be too too bad in reality with the current market conditions as well as with the opportunities that will become available. Just make sure you practice safe risk management, and prepare accordingly for anything and everything that might randomly come up !

Good luck trading, and let’s kill it today! 

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