HaiKhuu Daily Report - 07/18/2025
Good morning, and happy Friday! Wow, this week has been incredibly confusing as we’ve watched $SPY reach a new all-time high, yet conditions have been extremely neutral and challenging to trade in real-time. I cannot lie and say that these conditions are less than ideal, as $SPY has just again reached a new all-time high. However, at the same time, the lack of momentum we’ve seen has made trading extremely difficult and inconsistent.
I hope that you are all genuinely ready for the next couple of days, as everything I have brought up recently in my professional thesis on the markets is coming true, and retail traders are slowly returning to the markets. As long as the markets continue to slowly reach new all-time highs for another couple of days, retail is likely to return, flooding the markets, and we will be in a great place.
There are a couple of tell-tale signs for me that retail is coming back in full swing right now. I’ll discuss everything in more depth later in the report, but for now, please note that retail is slowly returning to the markets. Everyone should be extremely optimistic on a longer timeframe; however, it's essential to continue treading lightly and practicing safe risk management in these general market conditions.
So, let’s see where the markets take us from here, realize a significant amount of gains today, and go on to go enjoy the weekend!
Good luck trading today, and let’s realize some gains!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $547.07
Baseline Support: $536.72
Psychological Support: $550
Daily Cloud Support: $553.37
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday 07/17/2025
Yesterday was honestly a kind of amazing day for the markets. We were able to recognize the strength in the general markets and watched as there was strong bullish momentum continually throughout the entire day, displaying strength, confidence, and opportunity. Traders were able to realize a significant amount of gains relatively easily during that time, and many unrealized gains were generated at all-time highs, as anyone who has been holding strong equities should have enjoyed a new all-time high. Regardless, yesterday was a beautiful day for the markets with opportunities presented to us left and right.
So, we started the day with $SPY opening at $624.42. Market conditions at open were great as the markets quickly rallied from the bottom and displayed some general strength and opportunity in the process. Conditions could have obviously been significantly better, but I don’t think anyone is going to sit back and complain about slow and steady bullish momentum (unless you’re bearish).
Markets continued to move up throughout the entire morning topping out at $627 around the lunchtime lull, and watched as the markets continued to push throughout the entire afternoon, breaking above the previous all-time high, and going on to make the official high of the day and new all-time high trading at $628.40, before remaining relatively neutral throughout the remainder of power hour, and coming down ever so slightly leading into close, where we officially ended the day with $SPY trading at $628.04, up $3.82 for the day, or up roughly 0.6%.
What I will say is that yesterday was an absolutely disgusting day for the markets, and there were a couple of opportunities to trade, but overall, it wasn’t a great day to attempt to scalp on an intraday basis. It was great for everyone else as $SPY reached new all-time highs, remained consistent, and traders profited significantly, so congratulations again to absolutely everyone who was able to realize a significant amount of gains trading yesterday, and let’s absolutely kill it today!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 07/17/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 07/18/2025
Today is setting up to be a great day for the markets, with opportunities consistently presented to us and opportunities to realize significant gains. I am personally extremely excited to see these conditions develop and to witness how strong they become, as well as the opportunities that will be presented in the process. Many other traders should have little to no difficulty generating unrealized gains today, as $SPY is currently trading above its previous all-time high at the time of writing this report, and traders are becoming increasingly optimistic about these conditions.
Please, as I always recommend, ensure that you practice safe risk management. AS I have said before, it is a lot easier to simply hold strong positions and watch as the markets retain strength, than attempting to force a position and hope that everything works out. So please, do what you can to tread lightly, make sure that you are practicing safe risk management, and that you can realize a significant amount of gains in the process.
So, let me talk to you all now about retail, the retail markets, and why I believe that retail is coming back to the markets in full swing.
Over the previous three months, the retail markets have had a relatively tougher time. Everything was great until Trump was elected, when markets rallied and we reached an all-time high. However, we then entered a period of trade talks. Markets quickly sold off, killing off 50% of the active retail traders, and the recovery really was not the best, as many traders fought the sentiment on the way up, and unfortunately, got slaughtered in the process. This is unfortunate as they were not able to capitalize on this insane bullish movement, but it is fine as they haven’t been paying attention just yet, but as we are getting more and more headlines about stocks, crypto and everything hitting new all-time highs, we will see more and more retail traders come into the markets, allocate accordingly, and attempt to capitalize on these conditions.
This means there is more liquidity and solvency added to the pool, driving us from this consolidation point to pushing to new irrational all-time highs. If this remains true or not is a different story, but essentially the thesis I’ve been saying now for a little bit is that retail is preparing to come back to the markets in full force, and I genuinely do not believe that many people are predicting that at the moment. So, just know in the case that retail does come flooding back, to hold your long equity positions, and maintain your exposure.
I obviously may be wrong with my sentiment, but every part of my thesis has been slowly working out perfectly.
Meme stocks are slowly gaining momentum and volume, while crypto is moving up beautifully with more buyers, and the equities markets are making slight new all-time highs. As long as we can continue to retain this sentiment and market momentum, then we should not have any difficulties realizing any sort of gains in these conditions. So please, be realistic with your expectations of the markets here in the short term, but continue to remain optimistic with where you hope the markets go from here. Conditions, hopefully, are going to be strong from here, but it all comes down to your ability to navigate these conditions and what you can do to maximize your profitability.
But I will say this with certain confidence, as long as you have been holding long strong US equities, there should be almost zero reason why anyone should feel less comfortable or confident right now. Just continue to hold your positions, capitalize on market strength and opportunities, and make sure to realize some gains while managing your risk.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, $JEPI, $INTC, SOL, $RIVN, $TSLA, $NVDA, $BRK/B
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 07/18/2025 (ET):
Housing Starts - 8:30 AM
Building Permits - 8:30 AM
Notable Earnings for 07/18/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Huntington Bancshares (HBAN)
3M Company (MMM)
Regions Financial Corporation (RF)
SLB (SLB)
Truist Financial Corporation (TFC)
American Express (AXP)
Charles Schwab (SCHW)
Ally Financial (ALLY)
Autoliv (ALV)
Comerica (CMA)
Independent Bank Corp (INDB)
Wrap up
Hopefully, market conditions continue to remain ideal and provide us with opportunities to realize a significant amount of gains today. I do believe that many traders are going to be extremely excited and should have no problems realizing gains today, so please just continue to do what you can to maximize your potential, but protect your bottom line. The largest losses happen when you least expect it, so be smart, be safe, and enjoy these conditions!
Good luck trading, and let’s end this week strong!!!