HaiKhuu Daily Report - 07/21/2025
Good morning, and happy Monday! I hope you traders all had a great weekend and are ready for another phenomenal week for the markets! Markets are looking strong as $SPY continues to trend up during the futures session. Conditions are looking strong going into open, so I will warn you all to tread lightly and be careful.
There is an extreme likelihood that we continue to make new all-time highs at the moment with strength, opportunity, and confidence across the board. Traders will consistently have opportunities presented to them, but this is where the difficulties arise. Markets, despite being strong, will remain inconsistent and difficult to navigate. Therefore, please continue to tread lightly, practice risk management, and protect your bottom line. I genuinely believe that many traders will realize significant losses attempting to navigate short-term BS and confusion.
So, please go on to enjoy the rest of your trading today. Regardless of what you do, practice risk management, as many overconfident traders will generate losses as a result of tough market conditions.
If you have not checked out the Weekly Preview, please make sure to check it out HERE. There are several major earnings reports this week, including those from $TSLA, $GOOGL, and $INTC, so be sure to review the reports to prepare accordingly for the week.
Good luck trading this week, and let’s continue to see NEW all-time highs!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $623.76
Baseline Support: $610.68
Psychological Support: $600
Daily Cloud Support: $586.55
Thoughts & Comments from Last Week
Last week was a wild and volatile time. Markets made a new all-time high, traders were optimistic, and conditions got slightly better. Overall momentum was not great and opportunities were difficult to navigate in real time, but it was genuinely a phenomenal week with a significant amount of opportunities. Traders could have, and should have, realized a significant amount of gains, while others got chopped out. Hopefully, you all were able to take advantage of the opportunities available and enjoyed the ride!
So, we started the week with $SPY trading at $623.15. Markets were relatively strong to start the week, but conditions continued to remain relatively neutral. Conditions were not wild on Monday, but Tuesday is where things started to get beautiful. On Tuesday, $SPY started the day rallying during the pre-market session, going on to make the all-time high (at the time), trading at $627.86. Conditions were great, markets were looking optimistic, and yet markets sold off heavily. We watched as $SPY dropped $5 throughout the day, going from making a new all-time high, to testing daily support. Yet Tuesday wasn’t the wildest day for the markets. Wednesday is when all hell broke loose.
On Wednesday, many traders realized a significant amount of gains or realized a significant amount of losses. It just depends on how you allocated, where you allocated, and how lucky you got. We opened the day looking alright with $SPY trading at $623.76, but dumped to make the official low of the day at $618 on news that DT is considering firing Jerome Powell, officially breaking below the daily support level, before snapping back up by the end of the day, officially ending the day green with $SPY trading at $624.22.
Thankfully, the BS was over after Wednesday, as we went on to make a new official all-time high again on Thursday, and followed up with a disgusting day on Friday. On Friday, we went on to make the new official all-time high trading at $629.34 right around open, but did watch as conditions sold off throughout the day, and was a disgusting day to trade, but regardless $SPY did go on to make a new all-time high, so we cannot complain too much.
We officially ended the week with $SPY trading at $627.58, up $4.43 for the week, or up roughly 0.7%. We made new all-time highs 3/5 days of the week, and market condition-wise, did not feel like we made another new all-time high. We are steps closer to reaching a state of euphoria, though, in the markets, so please continue to hold your strong equity positions, and have a phenomenal time.
S&P 500 Heat Map - 07/18/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 07/21/2025
Today is going to be another amazing yet tough day for the overall markets. With the way that everything is trending at the moment, it would not surprise me in the case market conditions remained difficult to navigate, but at the same time, the amount of generalized comfort and confidence coming back to the markets in such a short period of time is almost unrealistic.
People are starting to feel significantly less fear in these market conditions despite conditions essentially being the same right now as they have been over the previous couple of weeks with neutrality and chop, yet for some reason people are overly excited to trade today, which is tough for individuals in the short term, but over the grand scheme of things, just continue to hold organizations that you are confident it. As long as they are fundamentally solid organizations, I am 100% sure that you holding your positions would out perform the average trader, so just something to consider.
As I have stated multiple times before in the past, I want the markets to continually make new all-time highs for a short period of time, without hyper-extending the markets. I just want small little kisses of new all-time highs, where $SPY only makes it by $0.50 for another week where the markets are not overextended before reaching irrational levels. This is obviously not the sexiest response you want to hear from a guy like me, I am sure you would rather have me say that I want to see $SPY rip up $50 overnight and be able to retain it, but in reality, that is just so unrealistic that it is not a part of our thought process. But in reality, this is why I am talking about holding positions, as you won’t have to navigate the short term BS, but get to capitalize on the long term strength, sounds like a complete win across the board.
I believe that a lot of tension will be eased once all of this trade war talk is over and has finally come to a resolution, where we can reach a true state of euphoria with new all-time highs on $SPY again here within the next couple of weeks. The way that the markets are setting up right now, there is almost no reason not to remain optimistic.
Just remain realistic too with your expectations, practice safe risk management, and make some smart decisions. In the case that the markets reach true euphoria, I do have the PT of $SPY $640-650 before euphoria starts, $SPY $650-700 as a realistic target on the case of a breakout, and $SPY $750+ by the EOY for irrational euphoria reasons. I think that $650-700 is a solid target for $SPY eoy, so just something to consider with this current market movement and building up what you personally expect to see. If I am right or not is a big question, the next is how quickly of a catalyst are we able to find. So let’s go on and enjoy these wonderful market conditions, and enjoy what the markets have in store for us today!
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, $JEPI, $INTC, SOL, $RIVN, $TSLA, $NVDA, $BRK/B
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 07/21/2025 (ET):
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators - 10:00 AM
Notable Earnings for 07/21/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Verizon (VZ)
Domino's Pizza (DPZ)
Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)
Dynex Capital (DX)
Roper Technologies (HBT)
Financial Preferred Bank (PFBC)
After Market Earnings:
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
Steel Dynamics (STLD)
AGNC Investment (AGNC)
Calix (CALX)
BOK Financial (BOKF)
Crown Holdings (CCK)
Agilysys (AGYS)
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE)
Equity LifeStyle (ELS)
Home Bancorp(HBCP)
Wrap up
Hopefully, this is a more consistent week with an increase in bullish confidence and euphoria. It is almost hard not to be excited about these conditions, so please continue to take advantage of the strength and opportunities available because one of these days this symphony is going to come to an end, so make the most of it while you can and enjoy what the markets have to offer.
Good luck trading, and let’s start this week strong!!!