HaiKhuu Daily Report - 08/14/2025
Good morning, and happy Thursday!!!
Wow, I genuinely hope you all are having an amazing morning and are ready for another genuinely exciting day full of opportunity. Market conditions are looking strong, BTC just made a new all-time high, and Solana has hit $210! Everything is looking strong and optimistic, so the question is, should you be concerned? I mean…. yeah, but with the way these conditions are, remain a skittish bull, and you will consistently print in these conditions.
Make sure to practice safe risk management while attempting to trade today, and this is a fair reminder to everyone that it is never a bad opportunity to take profit or to set a stop to mitigate your downside risk.
Do not get greedy in these conditions. Bulls will print money. Bears will print money. But pigs will get slaughtered.
Take advantage of the opportunities available in these market conditions and do what you can to maximize your profit potential. There is a high likelihood of a large directional move, mostly as a result of PPI data coming out during the pre-market session, so use that as a general gauge for momentum and direction.
This is going to be a phenomenal day.
Good luck trading today, and let’s see another NEW all-time high!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $632.74
Baseline Support: $632.12
Psychological Support: $640
Daily Cloud Support: $610.33
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 08/13/2025
Yesterday was a confusing and challenging day to trade. Opportunities were consistently presented to us to trade and realize a significant amount of gains with relative ease; the only problem was that it was difficult to capitalize on consistently as a result of the ongoing volatility and confusion in the markets. Conditions were choppy, but navigating those tough conditions presented us with many opportunities! I hope you all had a great time trading the new all-time highs yesterday and realized some gains!
So, we started the day with $SPY opening extremely strong, gapping up to $644.90, opening at a new all-time high, and conditions were great as $SPY continued to rally from open. $SPY went on to make the official high of the day, and an all-time high at $646.19, before being met with some quick bearish momentum.
$SPY dropped from $646 all the way down to $643.50, continued to chop around there during the lunchtime lull, and sold off into the early afternoon, going on to make the official low of the day at $642.68, dropping about $3.50 in total from the top.
Thankfully though, during the back half of the afternoon, the markets picked up nicely and displayed a nice recovery leading into close as we watched as $SPY rallied about $1.50 from the bottom to go on and end the day with $SPY trading at $644.89, up $2.20 for the day, or up roughly 0.3%, but is very interesting as it created a near perfect doji candle* on the daily chart.
It’s interesting to see the movement of yesterday, with the fact that we made a new all-time high, but at the same time, it is to be expected that market conditions are going to be volatile and challenging to navigate.
* To grasp at straws, the doji candle that was created on the daily was a “dragonfly doji”, which is a bullish doji. If it plays out is a different story. With all of those technical patterns matter, everything comes down to if the stars align perfectly with the moon, and if it is raining in Peru.
S&P 500 Heat Map - 08/13/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 08/14/2025
Today is honestly looking like it’s going to be a great day from the way things are looking during the pre-market session. The question is, does that continue to remain true? We have PPI data during the pre-market session, and traders are going to have a difficult time gauging a good read on the markets before that happens.
PPI data will drive the premarket sentiment and data going into open, so make sure to keep your
But, with everything that I am seeing across the board, it is screaming bullish strength, and confidence is coming back to the markets. I do not know how many of you remember the previous statements I’ve made, mostly about attempting to get to this level specifically in the markets. Still, we are now at a point where $SPY can start to look to move irrationally. Conditions are strong, and confidence is evident across the board. As greed fills the markets, expect them to continue moving up, displaying strength and confidence in the process. If that happens, it’s another story.
Bitcoin has just hit a new all-time high, and Solana has broken out, reaching $210. This continued increase in strength and confidence in these conditions reinforces every part of the thesis we’ve built over the previous couple of months.
I believe that we are now at the point of self-perpetuation. Markets “should” continue to hypothetically go up, mostly with the way that $SPY is trending at this point. We are making new all-time highs, despite retail traders not participating in the markets as much as they have previously, and we are not seeing the same levels of irrationality that we’ve seen in true euphoria yet. Retail traders are coming back to the markets, and every time $SPY hits a new all-time high, assume that there will be headlines that go out every time, and that retail grows between 1-2% every time that happens. It’s not a massive surplus at the moment, but if it happens enough in a consistent enough manner, that it will add liquidity and solvency to the markets, again continually perpetuating that cycle until we reach irrationality.
Euphoria and irrationality are not within the reasonable realm of possibility in the short term, but with the way the markets have moved recently, that can and realistically will happen with enough given time.
The first major level $SPY needs to break through is $650, which will likely trigger irrational buying due to the breaking of a major psychological resistance level. Additionally, we need to finalize all the trade deal talks. China has been extended, giving us some more breathing room to get things figured out, but at the same time, once that is figured out, assuming there is nothing else that brings us tension or stress, meaning significantly less fear in the markets, pushing us to even higher levels where we will reach euphoria, and possibly irrationality.
The three levels I am keeping in mind at this moment
$650 - Major Resistance
$700 - End of Euphoria
$750 - End of Irrationality
Are those levels 100% true and accurate? No, but those are kind of the levels that I am eyeing out, where I believe that once we break through $650, we will start to reach that state of euphoria, and in the case that $SPY breaks $700 by the end of the year, that we will be in a state of irrationality, where you should not be overly bearish, but be overly cautious as the markets WILL inevitably drop hard at that point.
But hey, we are in the final stages of my thesis for this run. Congratulations to everyone who has been here since this time last year, who has heard this thesis once Trump got shot. The thesis has remained true to terms 100% and I am shocked about how perfect everything played out. Congratulations.
For those who remember the analogy that I made to the party and entering at the bottom. The party has happened, the party is over, and it has been months now. We get to look back at the old times and remember the great times we had at the last party, but it is time for us to have our next party. People are planning and preparing now. The last party was fun, but this one is going to be a showstopper. ;)
Continue to make the most of these conditions in the short term, and remain optimistic about their strength, while remaining a skittish bull.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
Tech: $TSLA, $INTC, $NVDA
Speculative: $RIVN, $ARTL, $PTLO
Long: $JEPI
Short: $BRK/B
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 08/14/2025 (ET):
Initial Jobless Claims - 8:30 AM
Producer Price Index - 8:30 AM
Core PPI - 8:30 AM
Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks - 2:00 PM
Notable Earnings for 08/14/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
First Majestic Silver (AG)
Deere & Company (DE)
JD.com (JD)
Amcor plc (AMCR)
Advance Auto Parts (AAP)
Applied Industrial (AIT)
NetEase (NTES)
After Market Earnings:
Applied Materials (AMAT)
Nu Holdings (NU)
SanDisk (SNDK)
STARZ (STRZ)
Globant (GLOB)
Wrap up
Hopefully we watch as the markets continue to push to new all-time highs and we are able to break that $650 resistance point by the end of the day. Markets are looking great going into open, but watch out for the momentum that is being driven by PPI data. We might make a new all-time high, we might go on to test support. Who knows. Regardless, let’s make the most out of today and realize some gains!
Good luck trading, and let’s tear it up today!