HaiKhuu Daily Report - 08/18/2025
Good morning, and happy Monday! Man, it feels like the weekends just absolutely fly, and the markets are open again, but who can complain when market conditions just continue to be beautiful?
Markets are slightly down at the time of writing this report, but some minor weakness to start the week is nothing of any major concern.
Recently, markets have been trending up slowly, driven by the strength and confidence. But despite this confidence in the retail markets, please tread lightly today and in general. There is a significant fall risk in the markets. I don't anticipate a heavy drop, but I know a minor, healthy pullback is typical if it happens here.
Markets are slightly overextended, and we are at a price point we’ve never seen before, impacting people’s ability to trade and realize gains in the process.
Just make sure to follow trends while attempting to trade today, and do not attempt to fight any momentum. If markets suddenly look strong, don’t be overly bearish and fight the strength, and if markets suddenly look extremely bearish, don’t be overly bullish and try to buy the dip. Find the happy middle ground and make the most of it!
If you haven't checked out the weekly preview, do so HERE to prepare for this week. We have many major earnings from major retail companies, FOMC minutes releasing on Wednesday, and lots of economic data coming out pre-market on Thursday! So prepare accordingly for the week, and let’s have an amazing time!
Good luck trading this week, and let’s continue to see NEW all-time highs!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $636.62
Baseline Support: $632.12
Psychological Support: $640
Daily Cloud Support: $613.91
Thoughts & Comments from Last Week
Last week was a beautiful time for the markets. Many organizations hit new all-time highs, while there was confusion, neutrality, and, oddly, a lot of intervention from DT. I would say that the majority of traders should have realized some gains last week in some form or fashion, and those who got lucky should have printed in the process, so congrats to everyone who did well last week!
We started the week with $SPY opening at $637.45. Conditions were relatively slow to start the week, as we tested the previous all-time high on Monday, which then dropped leading into Tuesday, and that is when things started to head up.
$SPY quickly rallied from open on Tuesday to go on and make a new all-time high, the first one since the minor correction a couple of weeks ago, resulting in significantly more confidence and a continuation of those new highs.
We popped again on Wednesday to make a new all-time high, and went on to make the official all-time high on Thursday, with $SPY trading at $646.19.
The markets were tougher on Friday to end the week as $SPY was trading above the previous all-time high during the pre-market session, but never went on to officially hit that high during the trading day before selling off.
We started Friday with $SPY opening at $646, then dropping instantly to $644, and essentially remained neutral around that point between 10 am EST and close. There were opportunities to scalp in different directions, but any movement was relatively insignificant as we remained within roughly a $0.50 range.
Things were slow to end the week, with $SPY ending the week trading at $643.44, up $6 for the week, or up just shy of 1%.
It was a great week for the markets, with traders having numerous opportunities to realize significant gains over a very short period. Congrats again to anyone who has been trading and following any of our plays. Last week was genuinely an insane time with a significant amount of gains, so congrats, congrats, congrats! Let’s see where the markets take us today, and have an amazing time!
S&P 500 Heat Map - Last Week
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 08/18/2025
Today is setting up to be another interesting time for the markets. With the confusion and difficulties that are coming up, I am expecting to see many traders have a tough time attempting to capitalize on today.
At the time of writing this report, markets are down slightly, and cryptocurrencies are not looking their best. The selling that has come directly from crypto has not been as a result of fear, but more so short-term profit taking, which is a good sign, giving traders more opportunities to load back in, but I am telling you all at the moment that we might see the same thing play out in the markets today.
I am not trying to get you to be bearish, I am not attempting to scare anyone during this time, but with the way the markets are looking, I am seeing some generalized weakness in the markets that needs to be addressed as the elephant in the room. Please tread lightly on these market conditions. I hope the markets display strength in comparison to cryptos at this point, but there is genuine concern that I need to voice at these levels, mostly if you are attempting to allocate long at this point.
Only purchase organizations that you are personally comfortable and confident holding, as well as make sure that the organizations are at a price that you are confident holding them at. If your organization is either overpriced, or you do not believe in the fundamental success of the organization, then what is the purpose and what is your thesis on entering into a position.
Just make sure to tread lightly.
Another concern that I will voice too, is about the neutrality in the markets. This one impacts everyone who is attempting to scalp or trade in these market conditions. With the way the markets have been trending, we have seen many days with neutrality. During this time, traders will often more than not, get chopped out of positions, and will be stuck licking wounds after over trading or over allocating. Neutrality wil chop out traders and burn theta throughout the day.
If you are trading in these conditions, only scalp when there is momentum, enter into a day trade when theres signs of a direction, and never fight the trend.
Many will realize losses fighting trends today, so don’t get caught in the trap, and do not get greedy.
As I have said a lot recently, bulls will make money today, bears will make money today, but pigs wil get slaughtered.
Do not be greedy. Take your profits, and follow the market momentum. If conditions are strong, make the most of it, and if conditions start to look weak, have fun and short the top. I’ve said this before, and I will say this again, it never hurts taking profit off the table mostly on positions that you are up significantly on and believe that they’ve hit a relative top (ie, me and $INTC short term).
So just be smart, be safe, and make the most out of these market conditions. We have Jackson Hole starting at the end of this week, so tread lightly and have some fun!
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
Tech: $TSLA, $INTC, $NVDA
Speculative: $RIVN, $ARTL, $PTLO
Long Dividend: $JEPI
Long Investment: $INTC
Short: $BRK/B
Crypto: None (Literally, no live exposure)
Economic News for 08/18/2025 (ET):
Home Builder Confidence Index - 10:00 AM
Notable Earnings for 08/18/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Freightos (CRGO)
Riskified (RSKD)
Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR)
After Market Earnings:
Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
Blink Charging (BLNK)
Fabrinet (FN)
Flexsteel Industries (FLXS)
Waldencast PLC (WALD)
Nyxoah (NYXH)
XP Inc (XP)
Wrap up
Hopefully, markets will continue to rally in our favor, making new all-time highs! Make sure to practice safe risk management and do what you can to realize some gains! Actively scalping will be fun in these conditions, but just be careful with short-term taking on too much risk. Tread lightly, as Iam concerned about neutrality and choppy market conditions, but regardless, we can make the most out of today and have an insane time in the process!
Good luck trading, and let’s start this week strong!!!