HaiKhuu Daily Report - 09/30/2025
Good morning, and happy Tuesday!!! I'm not sure about you, but I think these market conditions have been crazy! Markets have been confusing, volatile, and, oddly, extremely profitable. I hope you are all enjoying the intense market momentum and are prepared for another extremely volatile and confusing day for the markets.
At the time of writing this report, $SPY is down slightly during the pre-market session; however, in my opinion, this is of no major significance. Markets are down slightly, but we are back above the daily resistance level, which, in my opinion, is the most challenging part of this entire process.
With $SPY back above the daily resistance level, it is for us to watch and speculate to see where the markets ultimately take us from this point. It would not surprise me that markets just remained strong, bullish, and optimistic. However, as always, I recommend that everyone remain level-headed and rational during this challenging time.
Just make sure you are not caught sleeping behind the wheel. There will be numerous opportunities to realize significant gains. Now it is a matter of realizing those gains and making the most of the conditions available to us. I’ll talk more about the opportunities available later on in the full report, but for now…
Good luck trading today, and let’s see a recovery & new ATH!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $660.82
Baseline Support: $651.13
Psychological Support: $660
Daily Cloud Support: $636.15
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 09/29/2025
Yesterday was, in many ways, a chaotic day for the markets. Opportunities were presented to us left and right, yet traders had an unfortunate time with some difficult market momentum. Hopefully, you all were able to realize some form of gain yesterday, but I know for a fact that many traders had an unfortunate and difficult time. But such is simply life, I hope you all had some fun and made the most of the conditions yesterday!
So, we started yesterday with markets looking great. $SPY was up nicely and opened the week trading at $664.34. Conditions were nice to us at open as $SPY continued to move up and went on to make the official high of the day, trading at $665.28, before reversing slightly, displaying some weakness, and having a tougher time leading into the lunchtime lull, only continuing to sell off throughout the beginning of the afternoon. $SPY made a relative low of around $662 during this time, but thankfully recovered slightly to $663 before selling off once again, leading into power hour, and reached the official low of the day at $661.86.
Thankfully, after making that official low of the day, $SPY recovered nicely from the bottom and rallied $2 into close, where we officially ended the day with $SPY trading at $663.68, up just shy of $2 for the day, or up roughly 0.3%.
Market conditions were alright yesterday. I will not say that it was a great day for the markets, but opportunities were consistently amongst us, and conditions were difficult to navigate. I hope that you all were able to achieve significant gains and make the most of the challenging conditions that were presented to us.
S&P 500 Heat Map - 09/29/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 09/30/2025
Today is going to be a hectic day for the markets. Conditions are going to either be extremely beautiful as traders are surprised after an insane rally at open, or we are going to see a continuation of the general selling as there is “fear” in the markets now as a result of the possible government shutdown.
This is data that is pulled by one of our AI models on the performance of the S&P500 during a government shutdown.
Historically, the S&P 500 has shown resilience during U.S. government shutdowns, with performance varying based on economic conditions and the duration of the shutdown. Since 1976, there have been 22 government shutdowns, but only a handful have lasted more than a few days. Below is an analysis of the S&P 500's historical performance during significant shutdowns, focusing on multi-day events, as they are more likely to impact markets:
General Trends:
Across 16 shutdowns since 1978, the S&P 500 has averaged a modest gain of about 0.8% during the shutdown period itself, with a 50-72% win rate (stocks rising in 8 out of 11 shutdowns in one study, and 50% in another). Post-shutdown, the index tends to perform strongly, with average gains of 2.1% one month later, 4.2% three months later, and up to 16% twelve months later.
So, I am not saying that a government shutdown is necessarily a good or bad thing, but what I will say, is that as a result of historical events, I believe that in the case that there is a governemnt shutdown, it would be unfortunate short term, difficult for those who are directly impacted with their line of work, and impact that general market security, but with the way that everything is moving, it would not surprise me that traders continue to navigate through this uncertainity, and will continue to capitlaize on the opportunities presented to us, regalrdess of what ultimately is happening.
My biggest concern at this point is not the government shutdown, but I am worried about some sort of major economic news that negatively impacts people's sentiment from this point. We do not have the same level of confidence or greed in the markets that is necessary to provide us with a cushion, in the case that market conditions weaken and traders become scared or extremely pessimistic.
Our recommendation to you, is to continue to do as we’ve been recommending. Stay away from opening blind market exposure, look for opportunities to buy the dip on strong organizations, continue to invest, and then just make sure you are practicing safe risk management. Many traders are going to get shot in these market conditions by over-leveraging as well as over-trading, so just please tread lightly in the case that you are attempting to trade.
One play I will recommend you keep your eyes out for is a short position on $INTC. Again, I am not saying that I am right, nor is this a signal to buy or sell any positions. But, I do believe that $INTC is overvalued at this price. I talked about opening a short position on it yesterday, and was able to purchase some $33p’s. That, personal security, and “poverty” plays are going to be the organizations that I watch for the short-term future!
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
Tech: $INTC, $TSLA, $NVDA, $PLTR, $META
Speculative: $PTLO, $RIVN, $ADT, $ALLE, $KHC, $BUD
Long Dividend: $JEPI
Long Investment: $PTLO, $BUD
Short: $BRK/B
Crypto: SOL
Economic News for 09/30/2025 (ET):
Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) - 9:45 AM
Job Openings - 10:00 AM
Consumer Confidence - 10:00 AM
Notable Earnings for 09/30/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Lamb Weston Holdings (LW)
United Natural Foods (UNFI)
Paychex (PAYX)
After Market Earnings:
Nike (NKE)
Wrap up
Hopefully, the markets recover and display significantly more strength from here. Please continue to make the most of these challenging market conditions. Follow the momentum, practice safe risk management, and have a great time. I mean, combining all of those and a little bit of spice, and everything nice, and you’ll have a perfectly baked portfolio. So, let’s have a fantastic time, realize some gains, and enjoy the day!
Good luck trading, and let’s see where $SPY takes us!