HaiKhuu Daily Report - 10/16/2025

Good morning, and happy Thursday! I hope you all are doing well and are ready for a beautiful day for the markets! Conditions are relatively strong at the moment, with $SPY being up ever so slightly, and traders should be optimistic about these conditions. Opportunities have consistently been amongst us, and we have genuinely had a lot of fun. Please make the most of today and these market conditions! 

My biggest continued concern is the uncertainty that we are seeing at this level. I would advise everyone to remain cautious and optimistic about these conditions, but at the same time, we are in a place where I would not recommend being overly ambitious. Be overly skeptical due to this generalized market movement and tread very lightly. 

This is one of those days that, realistically, is extremely difficult to capitalize on. Expect that many individuals will have a genuinely difficult time and incur losses, while others will be able to capitalize beautifully on both the confusion and difficulties of these market conditions. Please continue to make smart decisions while attempting to trade and realize some gains in the process. Many traders will face challenges, but overall, it's going to be a lot of fun! 

Good luck trading this week, and let’s continue to see NEW all-time highs! 

The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $663.39
Baseline Support: $662.29
Psychological Support: $660
Daily Cloud Support: $641.23

Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 10/15/2025

Yesterday was a volatile day for the markets, but we had many opportunities to realize significant gains, making it a lot of fun for all of us. Traders could have easily realized gains in both directions, as we called out both the perfect top and bottom again. I genuinely hope you all witnessed how perfect our entries and alerts were yesterday!

So, we started the day with $SPY looking amazing. $SPY was trading at $666.78, and was bullish from open. We observed the markets rally quickly for the first half hour or so of the day, followed by $SPY reaching the day's official high at $670.23. We alerted a rejection and short entry at the top, and then watched as our $670/669P’s went deep in the money as $SPY sold off over the course of three hours, going on to make the official low of the day at $658.93.

Conditions at the bottom were extremely tough, but again, this was one of those scenarios where we actually made the most of the selling and called almost a perfect bounce at $660. Markets then thankfully recovered slightly, leading into close, where $SPY bounced back up roughly $5 from the bottom, and trended around $665 until close.

We officially ended the day with $SPY trading at $665.17, up $3 for the day, or up just shy of 0.5%.

What I will say about yesterday is that the general momentum was tough and extremely irrational compared to the average trader and what they are going to be able to achieve. Still, at the same time, with the confusion and opportunities that were being presented to us, any comfortable or confident trader should have had almost zero issues realizing gains at all. Hopefully, you all were able to realize significant gains while attempting to trade yesterday and had an absolutely amazing time. Let’s see where the markets take us today, and have an amazing time!!!

S&P 500 Heat Map - 10/15/2025

Thoughts & Comments for Today - 10/16/2025

Today is going to be another one of those extremely confusing and difficult times for the markets. I am not going to try to sugarcoat it or say that conditions might get better. Given the current situation, please approach today with the understanding that conditions will be more confusing and challenging to navigate with confidence. Either the markets will rally beautifully today, or we'll see some generally disgusting selling across the board. Obviously, I would rather be optimistic than hope the markets drop from here, but this is one of those realistic scenarios where I genuinely do not know where the markets are taking us, and anyone who says they do in the short term is lying. 

If you do know with 100% confidence and certainty where we are headed, my advice to you will be to go in at least 100% of your portfolio, if not significantly more, maybe leverage your house, and put it all in on your play. If anyone were THAT confident in a play, that is exactly what you should do. 

For anyone else who isn’t full of shit and is a normal trader, understand that this increase in volatility is absolutely amazing, but at the same time, with the confusion that we are experiencing at the moment, many individuals will be caught in a place where they simply do not know how to allocate with confidence. This is not necessarily a bad thing, as a skeptical trader is not one who will lose a significant amount of money. The concern I have is for the traders who feel too confident in these conditions, as they will ultimately get slapped around when conditions go against them. 

So, if you are attempting to trade or capitalize on these market conditions, please keep your fists up today, as there is a lot of uncertainty leading into today. 

We may pump extremely hard, we may dump extremely hard, or we might go on and simply chop throughout the day, killing traders and sentiment in the process. This is obviously not going to be an easy day to navigate, and again, I am telling you all right now that, as bad as this sounds, I am expecting the majority of introduction-level traders to have an extremely tough time today. 

Just please, be smart, be safe, practice safe risk management, and do not do anything dumb. 

I will say at this part of the report that I do expect the markets to continue to move up. Again, I am not 100% sure, nor do I have any form of confidence that this sentiment will continue to remain. Still, at least from what I am seeing, conditions are looking more optimistic, and I am excited to see how semiconductors do today as a result of the strength coming from $TSM from earnings. 

The best traders will follow the momentum and volatility, capitalizing on these conditions. Again, I cannot tell you exactly where the markets are going to go, but I can tell you as much as I can about these ongoing conditions. 

So, good luck trading today. I will be away both today and tomorrow for travel, but I should be back on Monday and be back around for the majority of next week. After all of this travel, thankfully, there will be no more short-term travel afterward. Thank you all for understanding and much love y’all <3

I genuinely hope that you all are able to print and have an amazing time both today and tomorrow! 

If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.

My Personal Watchlist:

Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities

Watchlist:

  • Tech: $INTC, $TSLA, $NVDA, $ORCL , $TSM

  • Speculative: $PTLO, $RIVN, $ADT, $ALLE, $KHC, $BUD

  • Long Dividend: $JEPI

  • Long Investment: $PTLO, $BUD

  • Short: $BRK/B

  • Crypto: SOL

Economic News for 10/16/2025 (ET):

  • U.S. Retail Sales - 8:30 AM

  • Producer Price Index - 8:30 AM

  • Core PPI - 8:30 AM

  • Initial Jobless Claims - 8:30 AM

  • Business Inventories - 10:00 AM

  • Home Builder Confidence Index - 10:00 AM

Notable Earnings for 10/16/2025:

Pre-Market Earnings:

  • Bank of New York (BK)

  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)

  • Infosys Technologies (INFY)

  • Commercial Metals (CMC)

  • M&T Bank (MTB)

  • Charles Schwab (SCHW)

  • Travelers Companies (TRV)

  • U.S. Bancorp (USB)

  • Marsh & McLennan Company (MMC)

  • ManpowerGroup (MAN)

After Market Earnings:

  • Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR)

  • CSX Corp (CSX)

  • Simmons First National (SFNC)

  • F.N.B. (FNB)

  • Glacier Bancorp (GBCI)

  • Bank OZK (OZK)

Wrap up

Hopefully, markets will continue to rally and display significantly more strength at this level. I obviously am going to be optimistic in these conditions but I am extremely skeptical at this point. Pleased, continue to tread lightly and practice safe risk management. Many traders will face losses today, while others will easily achieve significant gains. Let's be smart, be safe, and have a great time!

Good luck trading, and let’s see how strong $SPY is!!! 

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