HaiKhuu Daily Report - 08/12/2025
Good morning, and happy Tuesday!!!
Wow, markets are starting to spice up a little bit, leading into the CPI report coming out today at 8:30 am EST. Things are going to get spicy, volatile, and confusing, so prepare accordingly for a fun time. Please make sure to practice safe risk management when attempting to navigate the market conditions today, as CPI really will be the deciding factor on sentiment and momentum leading into open.
Continue to capitalize on the momentum, strength, and opportunities presented to us today, and keep an eye out for $INTC. I’ll talk more in depth about this play later on in the report, but TLDR: $INTC CEO ousted by Trump, a couple of days go by, and the $INTC CEO meets with Trump, and will most likely continue to do so over the next couple of years.
What's Trump’s sentiment on Intel’s CEO? “His success and rise is an amazing story. Mr. Tan and my Cabinet members are going to spend time together, and bring suggestions to me during the next week.” So, it will be interesting to see what happens THERE specifically, as this has been an interesting flip-flop.
Just make sure to protect your bottom line today, and know there is a realistic possibility that CPI data drives us to a new all-time high this morning!
Good luck trading today, and let’s see a NEW all-time high!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $629.57
Baseline Support: $628.86
Psychological Support: $630
Daily Cloud Support: $606.92
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 08/11/2025
Yesterday was an disgusting day for the overall markets. There was so much neutrality in the markets that traders either fell asleep, or lost their ass due to zero momentum. There was truly no in between as opportunities were far and few between, and any “opportunities” realistically were relatively short-lived and a very small movement up or down. It was a great day to hold your equities and not overtrade.
So, we started the day with $SPY opening at $637.45, relatively neutral from the previous close on Friday, and we continued to chop and remain neutral in that area until the lunchtime lull, during which time was the first and only actual bullish movement we saw in the markets the entire day. $SPY quickly popped up and went on to make the official high of the day, trading at $638.95, before starting to come back down, and once the markets started to come down, it was essentially just bearish momentum throughout the entire afternoon.
$SPY went red again for the day around 1:30 pm EST, and just continued to slip throughout the entire afternoon going on to make the official low of the day, trading at $634.66, before bouncing back up and officially ending the day trading at $635.92, down $1.26 for the day, or down approximately 0.2%.
Conditions were less than ideal throughout the day, putting us in a position where traders essentially burned premium and opportunity, and most likely got chopped around and burnt by theta. Hopefully, you all were able to come out of yesterday relatively unscathed and are ready and prepared for where the markets take us today! Days like yesterday are the reason why I warn you all about short-term option contracts, but such is life!
Let’s make the most out of today and absolutely print.
S&P 500 Heat Map - 08/11/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 08/12/2025
Going into today, conditions are going to be confusing and difficult to comment on confidently before the CPI data comes out during the pre-market session. Just know that CPI “should” move the markets heavily in the morning and should be the gauge on both the direction, sentiment, and momentum going into open. So look out at 8:30 am EST, and you will watch as the markets either move up heavily or sell off in the process.
There are a couple of things that I can comment on confidently, though, about these conditions other than what the markets will do short-term with CPI data.
The two things I love about these market conditions are the fact that there are some phenomenal trading opportunities, but also the fact that you can simply hold strong equity positions and enjoy the momentum without having to navigate the short-term volatility and BS. I am sure you have heard me talk about this before, but I want to reiterate how important it is to hold strong equity positions, regardless of your current trading activity or direction.
Holding strong positions in organizations that you personally believe are fundamentally solid and are a great organization is key to capitalizing on market conditions regardless of how things are going. It is not good to attempt to allocate into long equities at this point blindly, but at the same time, hidden gems are consistently being presented to us in these conditions. $INTC being a recent great example.
So, I am not suggesting you should tie up 100% of your capital in long-term positions. Still, I am saying that you should realistically consider diversifying your portfolio where a portion of the positions are held in fundamentally solid organizations that you believe will continue to perform well and expand over the next 5-10-25 years.
Just make sure, on top of that, that there is proper diversification, and that you are scaling in and out of your positions properly, to mitigate both risk as well as having too many eggs in a single basket.
So let’s talk about $INTC and my thoughts on the organization. I won’t try to ramble too much, but I genuinely believe that $INTC is such a hidden gem in the markets that many traders are simply not seeing. Market conditions for them have been tough over the previous management cycle, and the last couple of years have not been great. At the time of writing this report, $INTC is trading around $21~ and we have watched $INTC hit below $18 and rally above $27 just in the past year.
Given the current organizational setup, I believe that the current political climate will provide numerous opportunities for $INTC, offering both expansion and growth opportunities for the American chip sector. With Trump being heavily invested in “Made in America”, $INTC has an insane advantage in the space that can heavily evolve over the next couple of years.
The organization has new management, and the new CEO has implemented numerous changes, resulting in higher profitability. People get scared when they hear that a company is cutting jobs and are laying people off, but at the same time, I genuinely do not believe that what LBT (Lip-Bu Tan), is doing is a bad thing. He is cutting all of the fat and BS off of an organization that he has taken over and is looking to improve.
I still believe that $INTC is at a great entry price if you are looking to grab any long exposure in the organization. If $INTC performs to my expectations, I genuinely do believe that $INTC has the potential to move up 50-100% in the short-term future (12-24mo) if they play their cards right and get assistance and funding from the current office, they should do great, and it is something that I am heavily invested in speculation-wise.
Legally, I must disclose that I am heavily invested in $INTC and have a strong bias in my opinions on the organization. None of this is financial advice nor a signal to buy or sell any position in $INTC. But, I genuinely believe that there is a significant amount of potential in this organization and can move heavily. Please do your own due diligence prior to making any position in $INTC I am just serving this position on a silver platter.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
$SPY, $JEPI, $INTC, SOL, $RIVN, $TSLA, $NVDA, $BRK/B
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 08/12/2025 (ET):
NFIB Optimism Index - 6:00 AM
Consumer Price Index - 8:30 AM
Core CPI - 8:30 AM
Monthly U.S. Federal Budget - 2:00 PM
Notable Earnings for 08/12/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Circle Internet Group (CRCL)
Sea Limited (SE)
On Holding AG (ONON)
Cardinal Health (CAH)
Paysafe Group Holdings (PSFE)
Tencent Music Entertainment (TME)
Bitcoin Depot (BTM)
BKV Corporation (BKV)
After Market Earnings:
CoreWeave (CRWV)
H&R Block (HRB)
Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)
CAVA Group (CAVA)
CAI International (CAI)
Lumentum Holdings (LITE)
KinderCare Learning (KLC)
Wrap up
Hopefully, markets break out heavily during CPI in the pre-market session, providing an opportunity to realize significant gains as $SPY continues to make a new all-time high. That is me just being optimistic going into open, but hey, who can complain with the guy who is excited for another phenomenal day in the markets. So make the most out of today, practice safe risk management, and print some cash!
Good luck trading, and let’s see an all-time high today!!!