HaiKhuu Daily Report - 09/16/2025
Good morning, and happy Tuesday! Wow, market conditions are continuing to remain strong as we lead into the FOMC’s decision on the interest rates tomorrow. I hope you're all excited and ready for where the markets are headed. Traders will have numerous opportunities to realize both substantial gains and significant losses. If you are attempting to trade today, please make sure that you are treading extremely lightly, practicing safe risk management, and genuinely doing what you can to maximize your profit potential.
As I have said before, and will say again. Opportunities will be presented to us left and right.
Do not be passive. Do what you can to retain general market exposure during this time, and make the most out of these conditions. As much as I hate saying this, I believe it's worse to do nothing than to attempt to trade and lose money in the process. Obviously, losing money is not ideal in any way, shape, or form, but at least you gave yourself the potential and opportunity to realize some gains in the process.
So, regardless of what you ultimately decide to do today, please make sure to practice safe risk management, to tread lightly, and genuinely have an amazing time in the process. Traders are going to have a fantastic time today.
Good luck trading today, and let’s see a NEW all-time high!
The updated $SPY daily levels are as follows:
Conversion Line Support: $623.76
Baseline Support: $610.68
Psychological Support: $600
Daily Cloud Support: $586.55
Thoughts & Comments from Yesterday - 09/15/2025
Yesterday was genuinely an insane day for the markets, marked by wild strength, opportunities, and a new all-time high. There was strength in organizations like $TSLA, as we received news during the pre-market session that Elon had purchased over a billion dollars in those shares. Conditions could have been and realistically were difficult to navigate, but opportunities were consistently amongst us, and we all should have had a phenomenal time.
So, we started yesterday with $SPY opening at $659.58, opening at a new all-time high after the long weekend. Conditions were looking strong after the open as $SPY did go on and quickly rally from open, and went on to make the official high of the day and all-time high early in the morning, making that high at $661.04. Conditions were great at the top, but we watched as $SPY slowly came back down to $660 throughout the afternoon, going on to make the official low of the day, trading at $659.35, before quickly popping back up leading into close, officially ending the day with $SPY trading at $660.91.
Like I said before, $SPY did make a new official all-time high, made a record high close, and is watching as general market conditions continue to remain strong, as the markets have continued to positively trend after breaking out from the $650 resistance.
Market conditions could have been more irrational and beneficial for attempting to trade it last week. Still, at the same time, with the generalized confusion and difficulties that we may face, I will say that I am excited about these market conditions as well as understanding everything that is necessary to attempt to trade and realize gains actively. So, let’s have some fun and realize some gains today!
S&P 500 Heat Map - 09/15/2025
Thoughts & Comments for Today - 09/16/2025
Today is going to be an interesting time for the overall markets. With the strength and confidence leading into FOMC tomorrow, I am excited yet nervous about today. The same warnings will remain, as I still believe momentum and volume will be slower and more difficult to navigate. However, given the current market conditions, it would not surprise me to see a continuation of strength.
Markets have remained strong for a short period of time, breaking through new all-time highs yesterday. I do believe that there is a chance that that does happen again today, but the question is, where do the markets realistically go? Do we drop before we pump, and what can we do in the process to make the most of these conditions?
The biggest and best thing that we can do right now is honestly just scalp the short-term momentum, and hope that things only continue to remain strong overall so traders can continue to capitalize on some insane opportunities. As long as $SPY remains strong, traders are optimistic, and anyone who minimizes their risk and losses while trading will have a great time.
Again, I will advise you all to look into organizations that have high rates of debt, that are fundamentally solid, and that have the ability to finance the debt that they are in at a cheaper rate. One of the best examples of this, at least in these market conditions, in my mind, is attempting to trade and allocate into $AAPL. I am not saying that $AAPL is going to be the best performer, but this is going to be one of those situations where, realistically, despite the weakness and hatred people feel towards $AAPL, it is still nice knowing there are organizations we can allocate into in the short term to make the most of these general conditions!
So just continue to follow the momentum, but be aware that general market momentum is going to be slow leading into FOMC tomorrow. As stated yesterday, there is currently a 98%% chance that rates ARE changed tomorrow, where there is a 92% chance of it being 25 BPS, and just under a 7% chance we get a 50 BPS cut.
Again, I just have to say that despite rates being lowered being received as a good thing for the markets, it is as more capital is going to be deployed back into the economy, as a result of this, but with the generalized conditions, things are only going to become more confusing and conflicting.
If I see any opportunities, or if I decide to get into any other plays, I’ll announce what I see in the HaiKhuu Discord.
My Personal Watchlist:
Note, just because something is on my watchlist does not mean it is a signal to buy or sell any equities
Watchlist:
Tech: $AAPL, $TSLA, $NVDA, $INTC
Speculative: $RIVN, $PTLO
Long Dividend: $JEPI
Long Investment: $INTC
Short: $BRK/B
Crypto: SOL
LONG OPPORTUNITIES:
Long-Term Dividend - $GAIN / $JEPI
Long-Term Investment - $INTC
Economic News for 09/16/2025 (ET):
U.S. Retail Sales - 8:30 AM
Import Price Index - 8:30 AM
Industrial Production - 9:15 AM
Capacity Utilization - 9:15 AM
Business Inventories - 10:00 AM
Home Builder Confidence Index - 10:00 AM
Notable Earnings for 09/16/2025:
Pre-Market Earnings:
Ferguson (FERG)
After Market Earnings:
Evolution Petroleum (EPM)
Wrap up
Hopefully, market conditions do continue to strengthen, and we continue to push leading into FOMC. I will warn you that I am under the expectation that volume is going to be lower today, leading into FOMC, and I believe there will be irrationality in the general markets as traders attempt to navigate these conditions. So, if you are attempting to trade today, please do everything in your power to minimize losses, to practice safe risk management, and prepare accordingly for tomorrow!!!
Good luck trading, and let’s see what $SPY has in store for us today!